Tag Archives: de facto monopolies

User revolt against the de facto monopolies in prediction markets?

InTrade (in the U.S.) and BetFair (in the U.K.) are de facto monopolistic, real-money prediction exchanges. Will those monopolies spur users to revolt? Will we see an open-source movement in prediction markets? That’s the question I asked privately to some … Continue reading

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“BetFair’s de facto monopoly will eventually end…”

I agree with the second paragraph —but maybe not with the thesis of the post.

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BetFair impose new “Premium Charges”, and their very active traders are up in arms. – Plus, do BetFair gag the critics?

My analysis of this PR debacle: BetFair has a very complex information technology system, which is very costly, making BetFair less profitable than the fixed-odds betting operators (the big British bookmakers). They attack the problem with a dual approach: they … Continue reading

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InTrade-TradeSports has a web server misconfiguration problem, and CEO John Delaney has a character problem.

As I wrote at the time, the InTrade-TradeSports websites were unavailable, last Friday, August 29, 2008, during a good part of the morning. InTrade-TradeSports is not only an event derivative exchange, but also a webspot that non-trading people often consult … Continue reading

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