Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: data visualization

Do not fuck with data visualization

Download this post to watch the video —if your feed reader does not show it to you.

TED: Awesome Knowledge Videos

What are you going to do this Summer? My advice: Don’t watch TV, don’t go to the movies.
Instead, download all the TED videos from YouTube. (Use Video Download Helper to download the videos on your hard drive.)
I have downloaded about 200 videos. Amazing people.
Peter Hirshberg: The Web and TV, a sibling rivalry

Steven Johnson: The Web [...]

If David Pennock were to seek innovation in prediction market data visualization…

… he would associate this with that.

Prediction Markets & Data Visualization

Spot that that guy didn’t say, “I monitor a prediction market“. He said, “I monitor a chart“.
InTrade, TradeSports, BetFair, TradeFair, NewsFutures and HubDub have a huge work to do to improve their charts. In the future, they will output richer charts. Customizable, dynamic, compound charts, with news markers.
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Keith Anderson’s got some good DATA VISUALIZATION links for you.

http://infosthetics.com/
http://flowingdata.com/
http://www.visualcomplexity.com/vc/
http://benfry.com/writing/
http://www.formfollowsbehavior.com/
http://dd.dynamicdiagrams.com/
http://blog.many-eyes.com/
http://datamining.typepad.com/data_mining/
http://simplecomplexity.net/
http://leebyron.com/how/
http://eagereyes.org/
http://accuracyandaesthetics.com/
http://www.juiceanalytics.com/writing/
http://diuf.unifr.ch/people/bertinie/visuale/
http://well-formed-data.net/
http://www.numberpix.com/
http://www.mentegrafica.it/blog/
http://junkcharts.typepad.com/junk_charts/
http://informationandvisualization.de/
http://designnotes.info/
http://perceptualedge.com/blog/
http://shiffman.net/
http://abeautifulwww.com/
http://makingmaps.wordpress.com/
http://www.bestiario.org/blog/
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(Via Tom Carden)
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Keith Anderson (Senior Analyst at RNG)
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The Most Hilarious Thing I Read This Morning

A 6-year-old report about how he enjoyed being invited at Robin Hanson’s party —boring like hell.
Makes me think that the field of prediction markets should research more on data visualization. Kids like great visuals. Boisterous blogging adults haven’t computed that, yet. When’s the last time you saw great visuals at Marginal Revolution or Overcoming Bias?
Think [...]

Huge quality improvement (well, considering that they started from 1,000 meters below the sea level) in the BetFair blog, lead by their resident prediction market guy, Mike Robb

The guy has shown commitment. Look at the semi-long list of posts he has produced.
The guy has finally understood that people want red meat —dynamic charts (i.e., self-updating) that link to the said prediction markets.
I observe, in passing, that their Pennsylvania compound chart is still alive (which is good), but, alas, the individual Clinton and [...]

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