Tag Archives: contracts

InTrade floats Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s life. — [PREDICTION MARKET]

InTrade: New Prediction Market: Dominique Strauss-Kahn Tuesday, May 17, 2011 On May 16th 2011 Dominique Strauss-Kahn appeared in New York City Criminal Court and was charged with two counts of a criminal sexual act in the first degree , first-degree … Continue reading

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Prediction markets: Sticking to the letter of the contract VERSUS Interpreting intent

Chris Hibbert (of Zocalo): I disagree, Chris. Much experience on FX has shown that interesting questions (those that aren’t routine repetitions of previous questions) often result in realities that diverge from the obvious expectations of nearly everyone involved in describing … Continue reading

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I think Intrade should always follow the letter of the contract as closely as possible.

That is Ben Shannon on InTrade’s prediction markets. I beg to differ. I believe that event derivative contracts should always stick to the truth —you can sense the nuance if you remember the 2006 North-Korea Missile prediction market.

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IG-owned HedgeStreet’s new prediction markets

New contracts: – Initial Jobless Claims – European Central Bank Rate Announcements – Nonfarm Payrolls – Unemployment Rate HedgeStreet

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InTrade-TradeSports are fucking up contracts, once again.

Once again. I have been inundated with complaints from InTrade traders, since Christmas. Here’s the problem. InTrade traders tell me that the expiration dates for the Bloomberg and Gore announcement contracts have been extended —at InTrade’s whim. The contract statements, … Continue reading

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Prediction markets on the Democratic and Republican presidential nominees – InTrade-TradeSports

InTrade-TradeSports: IMPORTANT: Expiry of 2008 US Election Contracts Tuesday, Oct 30, 2007 We would like to advise a change in expiry procedure for contracts in the following group: 2008 Presidential Election Winner (Individual) We originally planned to merge the contracts … Continue reading

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