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Tag Archives: conditional probabilities
VP conditional probabilities
BetFair is running markets on both who will be the next vice president and who will be nominated by the two parties. As we’ve discussed before in other contexts, one can divide two probabilities like these to obtain a conditional … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, BetFair, Clinton, conditional probabilities, event derivative markets, event derivatives, guard, guard candidate, odds, Politics, prediction markets, probabilities, Republican Party, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice president, vice presidents, VP, VP conditional probabilities
BetFair, VP conditional probabilities
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