Tag Archives: conditional likelihood loss

Conditional Likelihood Loss — Redux

- Nate Silver: 0.6032 – InTrade: 0.3699 – HubDub: 0.2237 HubDub beats both InTrade and Nate Silver.

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Conditional Likelihood Loss

- Nate Silver: 0.6032 – InTrade: 0.3699 InTrade looks much better than Nate Silver on the Oscars 2009. Waiting for the HubDub numbers, now. Nigel, are you napping or what?

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