Tag Archives: combinatorial prediction markets

Predictalot is a combinatorial prediction exchange.

Posted on March 16, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

“Predictalot is what is called a combinatorial prediction market.“

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Predictalot = combinatorial prediction markets (a la Robin Hanson)

Posted on March 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Predictalot David Pennock explains Predictalot.

Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Combinatorial Prediction Markets — David Pennock Edition

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

ACM: [...] Prediction markets are gaining interest because the Internet allows greater worldwide access to them, as well as to the ever-increasing amount of data stored on any topic imaginable (which theoretically allows participants to make more informed predictions, individually … Continue reading →

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A combinatorial prediction market is one where users can construct their own bets by mixing and matching options in myriad ways

Posted on February 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- either the bids are combinatorial (YooPick); – or the outcomes are combinatorial. – - either the market operator acts as an auctioneer; [*] – or he acts as an automated market maker. – [*] Jason, does this mean that … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

No comments on the Pennock–Combinatorial blog post, yet.

Posted on February 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Any taker? Jason? Jed? Mike?

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Robin Hanson on combinatorial prediction markets

Posted on February 1, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson’s slides regarding January 2009′s San Francisco vendor conference: PPT file. (You’ll notice that David Pennock‘s YooPick is cited. ) A previous combinatorial lecture by the same Hollywood science-fiction consultant. -

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Robin Hanson has convinced Concensus Point to support combinatorial prediction markets.

Posted on January 21, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: I’ve developed a combinatorial betting tech that lets a few or many users edit an always-coherent joint probability distribution over all value combinations of some set of base variables. Far futures base variables might include the years of … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Inventions & Innovations, Software | Tagged , , , , , | 6 Comments

The San Francisco conference on prediction markets

Posted on January 13, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I previously wrote that that San Francisco vendor conference is not worth the $400 they are asking. However, in all honesty to my readers, I shall notify that they have just made one (small) change that goes in the right … Continue reading →

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Robin Hanson sends Nassim Nicholas Taleb back in the locker room, and John Delaney does the same with Jason Ruspini.

Posted on September 24, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

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Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments