Tag Archives: Chicago

Inkling Administrator Conference on May 7th, 2009, in Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 23, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Inkling Administrator Conference on May 7th, 2009, in Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.
Adam Siegel:
There won’t be any sales pitches or windy academic talks.
I like that.
And their price ($79) is reasonable —contrast it with the $400 that the clown charges for “sales pitches” and “windy academic talks”. I highly support and recommend this Inkling workshop. However, [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged Adam Siegel, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, events, Inkling, Inkling Administrator Conference, inkling markets, internal prediction markets, meetings, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, private prediction markets, Traditional Forecasting

Chicago is hot, all of the sudden —but Lance Fortnow has nothing to do with it (if you were wondering).

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 13, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Beware that the Olympics Host prediction markets are unlikely to be accurate as the International Olympic Committee is a close and non-transparent organization, run by a bunch of co-optated aristocrats engulfed in IOC office politics. The IOC is as close as the CIA or the Mafia —well, actually, it is a Mafia. Don’t expect accurate [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged BetFair, HubDub, InTrade, Olympic Games, Olympics, prediction markets

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 29, 2008 — 2 Comments

Here are short excerpts of the Forrester report on enterprise prediction markets and companies that provide software for enterprise prediction markets.
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The Forrester executive summary:
The “wisdom of crowds” is capturing the attention of corporate strategists across the globe, and, as a result, many are now looking to prediction markets — speculative markets in which traders collectively [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Case Studies, Collective Intelligence, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Also tagged +1 617.617.5730, +1 866.367.7378, A. Huberman, - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, Boston Consulting Group, Calgary, California, Canada, Center for Energy Commerce, CEO, Charles R. Plott, Chris Hibbert, Client Resource Center, Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, David Perry, David Shahar, Director, EDS, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, Exago, Forrester, France, George Mason University, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Services & HP Labs, IBM, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, KPMG, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Microsoft, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pedro Da Cunha, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, Portugal, prediction market consultants, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott, - Charles Plott, Rawls College of Business, Robin Hanson, Software architect / , Zocalo, project manager, software for prediction markets, Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech University, United States, University of Kansas, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton Business School, Virginia, Virtual Specialist, VP Business development, VP R&D, wisdom of crowds, Yahoo!

Posting On Midas Oracle versus Presenting At The Third WorkShop

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 18, 2008 — Leave a Comment

MIDAS ORACLE: 1,600 daily readers (600 visitors on the Web + 1,000 feed subscribers)
THIRD WORKSHOP: 40 people in the room. – [Psstt... All the links to the presented papers... here.]
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Ratio: 40 to 1.
There are 40 times more people on Midas Oracle than in that Chicago conference room.
TAKEAWAY: If your goal as a researcher is truly [...]

Posted in Midas Oracle Statistics | Also tagged Midas Oracle, researcher, Third Workshop on Prediction Markets

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 16, 2008 — 3 Comments

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file):
July 4th 2008
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Three Lafayette Centre
1155 21st Street NW
Washington, DC 20581
U.S.A.
Attention: Office of the Secretariat
RE: “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts”
To Whom it May Concern:
It is an honour for me as Chief Executive Officer of Intrade [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Also tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata

Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, July 9 in Chicago

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 1, 2008 — Leave a Comment

The Third:
July 9th, 2008
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1:25pm Opening Remarks
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1:30 – 2:20pm: Session 1: Practical Applications and Experiences
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Speaker: Emile Servan-Schreiber (1:30-1:45pm)

Keys to successful implementation of an internal corporate prediction market (Emile Servan-Schreiber)

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Speaker: Todd Henderson (1:45-2:05pm)

Prediction Markets for Corporate Governance (Michael Abramowicz and Todd Henderson)
Predicting Crime (Todd Henderson, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitzewitz)

Discussion (2:05pm – 2:15pm)
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2:20pm-3:10pm [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged Abe Othman, Andreas Graefe, Benoit Delbecq, Clemens van Dinther, David Ubilava, Delphi, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Eric Zitzewitz, George Tziralis, Hajime Mizuyama, Ivan Corwin, J. Scott Armstrong, Justin Wolfers, Kenneth A. Foster, meetings, Michael Abramowicz, Nominal Groups, Panos Ipeirotis, prediction markets, Prediction Markets Compared, speaker, Stefan Luckner, Stefan Stathel, Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, Todd H. Kuethe, Todd Henderson, Todd Kuethe, United States

Prediction markets are about lowering transaction costs. That’s how sports come in.

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 12, 2008 — 3 Comments

I found John Blank’s letter to the CFTC (discovered by Mike Giberson) as interesting as Vernon Smith’s one.
Here’s the PDF file —in case you missed it.
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I would like to focus on John Blank’s 3-point introduction. In short, he describes a modern world where both the derivative exchanges and the CFTC have to adapt to an [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Finance, Regulations | Also tagged betting markets, CFTC, event contracts, event derivative contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, Internet-empowered population, John Blank, laws, Mike Giberson, prediction markets, Regulations, retail users, Sean Park, United Kingdom, Vernon Smith, Web-based derivative markets, Web-based trading

The best researchers on prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 4, 2008 — Leave a Comment

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

Posted in People, Resources & References | Also tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling, - Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Charles R. Plott, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton, - James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan, - Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski, - Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand, - Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow, - Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce Berg, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage, - Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica, - Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian, - Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode, - Paul Rhode, W. Ross, - Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager

Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Consultants
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Inkling – URL: Inkling Markets – (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)

Adam Siegel — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Nathan Kontny

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NewsFutures – (Maryland, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.)

Emile Servan-Schreiber — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Maurice Balick

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Xpree – (U.S.A.)

Mat Fogarty — Post Archives at Midas Oracle

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HP Services – HP Labs – (U.S.A.)

Predicting the future –with games — Introductory article
Information Dynamics [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Consulting | Also tagged A. Huberman, - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, American Enterprise Institute, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, BPH Technologies, Calgary, California, Canada, CEO, Charles R. Plott, Chris Hibbert, consultancy firms, consultants, Consulting, consulting firms, corporate prediction markets, D.C., David Perry, David Shahar, Director, Durham, economic tools, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, energy, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, France, George Mason, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Labs, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Jed Christiansen, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, London, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Mikael Edholm, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, North Carolina, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, prediction market consultants, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott, - Charles Plott, Raleigh, Robert Hahn, Robert Wilburn, Robin Hanson, Software architect / , Zocalo, project manager, Tennessee, United Kingdom, United States, Virginia, VP Business development, VP R&D, Washington

Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, July 9 in Chicago

Written by David Pennock on May 6, 2008 — 10 Comments

Please join us at the Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, in Chicago on the afternoon of July 9, 2008. We plan academic talks, an industry panel, and open discussion. Participation is open to anyone, and we hope to be as flexible as possible in allocating speaking time. See the workshop website or the full Call [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Events & Meetings | Also tagged conferences, David Pennock, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, prediction markets, Workshop on Prediction Markets

Tag Archives: Chicago

Inkling Administrator Conference on May 7th, 2009, in Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.

Chicago is hot, all of the sudden —but Lance Fortnow has nothing to do with it (if you were wondering).

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Posting On Midas Oracle versus Presenting At The Third WorkShop

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, July 9 in Chicago

Prediction markets are about lowering transaction costs. That’s how sports come in.

Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets

Third Workshop on Prediction Markets, July 9 in Chicago

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