Tag Archives: Ben Shannon

Prediction market blogger quits InTrade.

Ben Shannon: New Year Update Posted by Jesse Livermore on Sunday, January 3, 2010 I’ve been gone for a while. There just hasn’t been that much happening on Intrade, and I’ve been focusing on neuroscience. Intrade has definitely gotten tougher … Continue reading

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Ben Shannon’s bad Corzine bet.

Ben Shannon (who blogs as “Jesse Livermore” at “Wiser Than The Crowd”) did bet on Jon Corzine — “buying around 65-68″, at the end of October 2009. Bad bet. Once again.

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After losing $6,000 on Chicago, Ben Shannon gives up on prediction market blogging.

Ben Shannon: [] I’m not sure how much benefit I get from running this blog. I haven’t really made any money on Intrade since starting the blog this spring. In retrospect, at least part of my motivation for making the … Continue reading

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Midas Oracle is the only website in the world to have told you *not* to bet on Chicago —and to stay (far) away from any Olympics venue prediction market.

Previously: Will Chicago get the Olympics? Don’t bet on it. Too risky. Had Ben Shannon listened to us, he would have spared $6,000 —yes, that’s six thousand US dollars. Next: Could we have divined that Chicago was a lemon?

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Why an analyst should assess each newly created prediction market

The Chicago candidacy, which was favored by the prediction markets (and gullible bettors like Ben Shannon), is the one that fared the worst. As we have blogged here many times, not every prediction market is created equal. Some are bound … Continue reading

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Chicago won’t have the Olympics in 2016.

The Chicago candidacy, which was favored by the prediction markets (and bettors like Ben Shannon), is the one that fared the worst. I TOLD YOU SO: – “Will Chicago get the Olympics? Don’t bet on it. Too risky.“ – The … Continue reading

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Will Chicago get the Olympics? Don’t bet on it. Too risky. — 2016 Summer Olympics in Chicago — 2016 Olympics Predictions

Will Ben Shannon finish in slip? Or will he win at the Olympics lottery? Ben Shannon has taken a big bet on Chicago. Best wishes to him. (We hope he will be more successful than his latest stock market call, … Continue reading

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5 minutes after joining, Ben Shannon managed to get second place on the IBM Smarter Cities leaderboard.

5 minutes after joining, Ben Shannon managed to get second place on the IBM Smarter Cities leaderboard.

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Ben Shannon’s post…

… was misinterpreted by us. Our mistake. Deep Throat chalks up another one. Our apology to “Jesse Livermore”.

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“risk free rate” … VERSUS … “CD rates”

Ben Shannon should have said “CD rates” in his line, Deep Throat tips us. [*] When someone says “risk free rate“, he/she means the central bank rate, not the “Intervest National Bank” rate. (Are they solvent?) Also, with CDs, you … Continue reading

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