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Tag Archives: advanced indicators
Ubber finance blogger Barry Ritholtz believes in magic. He believes that, with more volumes on the event derivative markets, comes the Omniscience —capital “O”.
- Our good friend Barry Ritholtz.has persuaded himself that our real-money prediction markets suffer from an irremediable and fatal problem: liquidity on political event derivative markets is too thin for smart Wall Street people like him to take their market-generated … Continue reading →
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Leading & Lagging Indicators
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Tagged accuracy, advanced indicators, Barry Ritholtz, clueless mainstream media, event derivative markets, event derivatives, finance blogger, Market Liquidity, New Hampshire, omniscience, polls, prediction markets, the New York Times, trades, transactions, volumes, Wall Street
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5 Comments
Are David Pennock’s search engine prediction markets the worst marketing disaster since the New Coke?
Only 2 trades (yes, “two”), one month later: Are there any good advanced indicators of future search engine market shares? I was not entirely convinced. Equally, with Felix Salmon, I’m asking whether there are good advanced indicators of future earthquakes. … Continue reading →
Once again, a BetFair spin doctor misunderstands the prediction market approach.
Via Niall O’Connor, the Cyprus Mail (citing BetFair spin doctor Michael Robb): Political markets are different to sports markets because the people betting have an interest in the subject such as academics, journalists, people who work at it in their … Continue reading →
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators
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Tagged advanced indicators, BetFair, Cyprus Mail, Emile Servan-Schreiber, event derivative markets, event derivatives, horse racing, Ireland, John Delaney, Market Trading, Michael Robb, Mike Smithson, Niall O'Connor, political prediction markets, Politics, prediction markets, sports traders
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1 Comment