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Recent Posts
- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Category Archives: Prediction Journalism
Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Journalism, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism
Tagged betting markets, Drudge Report, event derivative markets, event derivatives, events, information, InTrade, Journalism, Matt Drudge, Media, News, Politics, prediction markets, press, US politics
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Once again, Yahoo!’s David Rothschild forgets to cite InTrade and BetFair as probability sources. — [OOPS]
Here. Previously.
Knowns and unknowns of the 2012 presidential elections — [LINK]
“We gather information from a variety of sources (some of which are themselves information aggregators), including prediction markets, polls, web search, social activity, games, and historical precedent, and combine it together to produce a Consensus Prediction that is as unbiased, … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics, Prediction Journalism, Resources - References
Tagged 2012 presidential elections, blogs, certainty, David Pennock, David Rothschild, democrats, Internet sites, Politics, Prediction Journalism, probabilities, references, republicans, resources, sites, The Signal, uncertainty, US politics, Yahoo!, Yahoo! News, Yahoo! Research
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Yahoo’s David Rothschild scraps market info from InTrade (and BetFair?), does not cite them, and does not link to them. — [UPDATED]
David Pennock’s little protégé should receive a crash course about citing sources. C’est minable. UPDATE: David Rothschild e-mails me to say he forgot to link to InTrade and BetFair in that story, at publication time, but he added the links … Continue reading
Though not a legal, registered financial advisor, Justin Wolfers hands out financial ‘advice’ to anyone who is foolish enough to listen. — [SCREENSHOT]
More. – “A financial adviser or stock broker should be licensed to provide any consultation on investment in securities.” -
Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Financial Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism, Predictions - Forecasts, Regulations
Tagged 2012 elections, 2012 US presidential election, bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, financial advisor, financial advisors, forecasting, forecasts, GOP, InTrade, Justin Wolfers, laws, Mitt Romney, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Regulations, Republican candidates, Republican Party, Republican primary, republicans, Rick Perry
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Betting @ BetFair remains a mediocre-quality publication —triple alas.
I have spent some time this morning browsing it, and I am sad to report that the quality of this news website is still very low. – The navigation is crappy. For instance, clicking on the BetFair logo will bring … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Journalism, Prediction Journalism
Tagged BetFair, bets, Betting, Betting @ BetFair, betting markets, event derivative markets, forecasting, forecasts, predicting, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Predictions, The Sporting Exchange
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The value of prediction market journalism, which doesn’t produce any scoop, is zero.
Felix Salmon (in a piece about the ROI of web publishing): As real-money prediction markets become legal in the US, there’s surely going to be a lot of money in writing about them and driving rich readers to them. Total … Continue reading
BRITISH CRETINERY: The Financial Times features the InTrade probabilities —not the BetFair ones.
This is really stupid. The decerebrated journalos at the FT chose to feature the illiquid, Ireland-based, un-regulated InTrade prediction markets instead of the very liquid, UK-based, regulated BetFair prediction markets on the next British congress. Makes no sense at all. … Continue reading
PROVEN AND DOCUMENTED: Joe Weisenthal is drunken with his own manipulation paranoia.
Joe is going off the deep end. Market noises are now interpreted as the intergalactic battle between the pro-HCR and the anti-HCR, who are both seeking to manipulate the InTrade prediction markets. No evidence whatsoever is displayed. P.S: I am … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Prediction Journalism
Tagged betting markets, Business Insider, event derivative markets, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, Joe Weisenthal, Journalism, Politics, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, US politics
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