Prediction Markets = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Category Archives: Midas Oracle Statistics

Type “GE Imagination Market” in Google, and you’ll see prediction market journalism, *first* —and, after that, the spin done by the companies in question.

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Why is the web traffic surging?

We have one winner and two losers.

The winner: Daniel Horowitz of The Emergent Fool
- Yes, as Daniel guessed it, Google is sending about one thousand people a day on Midas Oracle .ORG, and more than half of that is related to my post about how to download Yann Arthus-Bertrand’s documentary film, HOME. The web traffic [...]

The web traffic to Midas Oracle is exploding.

Can you guess why? Leave your guess in the comments. (Jason Ruspini is excluded from the contest; I told him.)

UPDATE: Our secret is revealed…

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Midas Oracle has a de facto monopoly on “collective forecasting”.

If you type “collective forecasting” in the 3 main search engines, Midas Oracle pops up as #1 in the results. Thanks to Emile of NewsFutures and Prof Robin for their devotion and plain hard work in pushing this industry keyword (and the underlying concept). It is all fair that Midas Oracle is reaping the benefits. [...]

Twitter drove more traffic to Midas Oracle than Marginal Revolution (who have linked to us) did —this past week.

FREEZE: The feed subscribers of Marginal Revolution (who came here thru Google Reader or else) are not counted, so the number for Marginal Revolution is actually higher than what Google Analytics tells me.

This stats is only for the referring sites, not for the search engines.

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Emile Servan-Schreiber coined the term “collective forecasting”… Robin Hanson popularized it…

… and Midas Oracle is reaping all the benefits. I am laughing thru my a**.

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Mine is bigger and longer.

I have twice more followers than he has —and I started well after he did.
I am the best.

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Search Engine Optimization: Who Is The Best?

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There is an apetite for socially valuable predictions and forecasts, out there.

That post had no original content. Just the republication of the HubDub prediction market charts. (I will update that post with new links to InTrade and IEM.)

P.S.: I will show you the InTrade charts, later on. But as you all know, InTrade is slower than HubDub to create brand-new prediction markets, and it takes some [...]

Google users are digging around to get the probability of a Swine Flu pandemy.

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Interestingly, the results are very different with “swine flu predictions”. Predictify is above HubDub in both cases, you’ll notice.
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External Links: – Google Trends – Google Insights for Search
Previously: Swine Flu Prediction Markets

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