Daily Archives: June 29, 2009

June 28′s BetFair millionaire story (about Elliott Short) in the News Of The World

June 28′s BetFair millionaire story (about Elliott Short) in the News Of The World has been retracted by the UK tabloid. See why at the bottom of this post. – Find the cache here. By Simon Ward, 28/06/2009 A SACKED … Continue reading

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BetFair is going to make money in America…

…”even without changes to betting laws.”

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Behind Nigel Eccles (of HubDub fame), the remains of the West Pier in Brighton, England.

As for me, I would rather have a picture taken of moi with the Eiffel Tower in the background (or some other monument devoted to the greatness of humanity) —as opposed to a burned-to-the-core carcass. British humor, I suppose.

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Why don’t they use prediction markets to settle their Community Reinvestment Act dispute?

Barry Ritholtz versus John Carney

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Our industry needs a third Wikipedia page.

Collective Forecasting @ Wikipedia Prediction Markets @ Wikipedia Betting Exchanges @ Wikipedia –> Wikipedians, let’s create a Wikipedia page on collective forecasting.

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Robin Hanson: My best idea was prediction markets.

Robin Hanson‘s auto-biography (i.e., how Our Master Of All Universes views HimSelf): – Robin Hanson: Do you find it hard to summarize yourself in a few words? Me too. But I love the above quote. I have a passion, a … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, History, People | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

In most cases, the team (including the best predictors) outshines the best predictor working alone.

I had a question about VentureBeat’s statement, and Leslie Fine has answered it. VentureBeat: As everyone has known since the modern corporation was invented, employees such as executive assistants or production line managers often have better information and more accurate … Continue reading

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