Well the Oscars have come and gone and although most pundits are chattering about Slumdog’-s amazing 8 wins and Hugh Jackman’-s dulcet tones, I’-m more impressed by Hubdub’-s amazing success.
Out of the major races, we got EVERY SINGLE ONE RIGHT. We were also the only major prediction exchange to correctly predict the Best Actor race (Betfair, HSX, InTrade, Newsfutures and even Nate Silver all gave the gold to Mickey Rourke). Also, in five of the big 6 races, we showed higher confidence than InTrade predictors.
| Hubdub | InTrade | |
| Best Picture | 98% | 90% |
| Best Director | 76% | 90% |
| Best Actor | 63% | 33.5% (wrong) |
| Best Actress | 87% | 85% |
| Best Sup Actor | 100% | 95% |
| Best Sup Actress | 64% | 58.8% |
From the complete 24 award lineup, we nailed 19, generally by impressive condifence margins. Check out all of our settled markets here.
Not only have Hubdubbers had a successful night, each of my personal Oscar predictions were correct and I added another 40 thousand Hubbucks to my coffers. Award season is now finally behind us, but American Idol is just getting started!
Crossposted from Newspundits