Monthly Archives: November 2008

Blah, blah, blah, blogs. Blah, blah, blah, my blog. Blah, blah, blah, the bloggers. Blah, blah, blah, blogging.

Posted on November 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

An Internet marketing professional: Today, we publish and consume more content faster than ever before. WordPress has become the new FrontPage. Web sites are now blogs. E-mail and newsletters have been replaced by RSS. Micro-blogging applications such as Twitter have … Continue reading →

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Are collective intelligence solutions being oversold?

Posted on November 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Xpree CEO Mat Fogarty: Chris, Management struggles to understand and plan for the future. When forecasts are inaccurate, corporations incur huge costs due to inventory write-offs, stock-outs, misallocated resources or cost of capital. Collective intelligence delivers objective, accurate forecasts in … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Business Administration, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

My open question to Xpree’s Mat Fogarty

Posted on November 27, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Mat, congrats for your expansion. – Will Jim oversell the predictive power of the enterprise prediction markets? All the other “business development” directors I see out there are overselling, in my view. -

Posted in Consulting, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

No more margin trading at InTrade

Posted on November 26, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Sudden decision. [Spot the mistake in the date at the top of that webpage.] Todd’s not happy. -

Posted in Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Market Trading | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Are prediction markets useful?

Posted on November 26, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

According to Alan Abramowitz, John Tierney has been “greatly exaggerating the accuracy of the betting markets.” “They follow the polls. That’s it.” – - My comment to Alan Abramowitz and John Tierney: “They follow the polls. That’s it.” Yes, they … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Giving Thanks

Posted on November 26, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- – Thanks to my readers. – Thanks to InTrade, BetFair, NewsFutures, HubDub, etc. – Thanks to Robin Hanson, David Pennock, Lance Fortnow, Jason Ruspini, Mike Giberson, David Perry, Adam Siegel, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Nigel Eccles, Chris Hibbert, Panagiotis Ipeirotis, George … Continue reading →

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Andrew Goldberg laments the narrow range of political prediction markets at InTrade.

Posted on November 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Yet another blogger who is bound to discover HubDub. Unlike InTrade, HubDub is universal. -

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

“Still, as noted, it was a good election for [the] prediction markets and another piece of evidence of their superiority over the pundit[s] (and at least parity with the poll).”

Posted on November 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Dixit Nigel Eccles in a comment. – at least parity with the poll – I agree with the above. – their superiority over the pundits – What documented evidence do you have about that, mister the cocky entrepreneurial Scotsman? John … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

OPEN WEB AWARDS: The deck is stacked against HubDub.

Posted on November 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Mashable put HubDub in the “Social News” category —along with Digg. HubDub will get crashed, of course. They should have put HubDub in a “prediction markets” category. -

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Yet another person outraged by the HubDub prediction markets on deaths and assassinations

Posted on November 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Here. Outraged by that. Previously.

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , | 8 Comments