Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada + Republican primary in South Carolina

Here are the event derivative charts of expired InTrade contracts.

[Psstt&#8230- I have high hopes about being able to publish the charts of expired BetFair contracts, too, soon. :-D ]

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Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada

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Democratic caucus in Nevada (the Hillary Clinton event derivative was expired at 100):

Dem Nevada Clinton

Dem Nevada Obama

Dem Nevada Edwards

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Republican caucus in Nevada (the Mitt Romney event derivative was expired at 100):

Rep Nevada Romney

Rep Nevada McCain

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Republican primary in South Carolina

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Republican primary in South Carolina (the John McCain event derivative was expired to 100):

Rep SC McCain

&#8220-Field&#8221- = Mike Husckabee

Rep SC Field

Rep SC Romney

Rep SC Thompson-F

Source: InTrade

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

  • Super Bowl XLII
  • The Glorious Incertitude Of Sports
  • TradeSports Cost Of Transaction
  • The prediction market industry needs people who have balls.
  • Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?
  • Is it time to buy some Michael Bloomberg event derivatives?
  • Professor Leighton Vaughan-Williams excluded from the BetFair blog feed

NIALL OCONNOR ATTACKS THE INTELLECTUAL HONESTY OF THE PREDICTION MARKET RESEARCHERS.

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Niall O&#8217-Connor (who maybe ate grilled snake for his Sunday morning breakfast :-D ):

The current trend to promote almost illiquid betting markets as being predictive, looks set to backfire bigstyle. In a nutshell, to date the so called &#8220-prediction markets&#8221- have called it wrong in New Hampshire (Democrats), Michigan (Republicans) and South Carolina (Republicans). Prediction market advocates, in many instances weighed down with the baggage of being too closely associated with the prediction market industry, are guilty of churning out subjective, biased research, in an attempt to promote the industry and lure traders into the markets. Unscientific comparisons are continually made between prediction markets and polls, and, moreover, markets are deemed to have been predictive, when all they have actually done is [respond] to the unwinding of the vote count. The publication of such utter garbage does nothing but a big disservice to the fledgling prediction market industry. Moreover, it is unfortunate that prediction market industry watchers, who purport to be independent and subjective, indulge the writers of such nonsense, in the process revealing themselves to be nothing more than placemen and sycophants of unquestioning loyalty. […]

Names, please, Niall.

  1. Who are those corrupted &#8220-prediction market advocates&#8221-?
  2. Who are those rotten &#8220-prediction market industry watchers&#8221-?

By the way&#8230- I will have the charts of the expired BetFair contracts, soon, I hope- and I will publish them here for all to see.

Midas Oracle .ORG » Blog Archive » The prediction market industry needs people who have balls.

Squirrel

Previously: Squirrel attack prediction market, anyone??

Read the previous blog posts by Chris. F. Masse:

  • Super Bowl XLII
  • The Glorious Incertitude Of Sports
  • TradeSports Cost Of Transaction
  • Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?
  • Is it time to buy some Michael Bloomberg event derivatives?
  • Professor Leighton Vaughan-Williams excluded from the BetFair blog feed
  • NIALL O’CONNOR ATTACKS THE INTELLECTUAL HONESTY OF THE PREDICTION MARKET RESEARCHERS.