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- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Monthly Archives: November 2007
Published less than one hour ago. Already indexed by Bo Cowgill’s Google Search.
So quick. Frightening. — Previously: TradeFair Binaries User Guide – What is Trading? —
TradeFair Binaries User Guide – What is Trading?
TradeFair Binaries Account — TradeFair Binaries Charges — TradeFair Binaries FAQ — TradeFair-BetFair Rules & Regulations — TradeFair Binaries User Guide — What is best execution? What does the changing background indicate on the trading platform? What is my net … Continue reading
2007 Australian political elections: Polls vs Bookmakers
Andrew Leigh: [...] the polls got 12 seats wrong, while the markets got 7 seats wrong [...] Previously: Justin Wolfers Country has turned Left… as predicted by the prediction markets.
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Betting
Tagged Andrew Leigh, Australia, Justin Wolfers, prediction markets
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Meet T.D. Thornton, US evangelizer of BetFair.
Photo by Patrick Lentz (excerpted from a New York Times story on US horse racing) Previously: Slate publishes a BetFair explainer for the Americans, written by T.D. Thornton.
Posted in Betting, People
Tagged New York Times, Patrick Lentz, T.D. Thornton, United States
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PIECE OF EVIDENCE #2 THAT BETFAIR-TRADEFAIR ARE MINDING THE PREDICTION MARKETS.
TradeFair Binaries: Hint: A binary bet represents the probability or percentage likelihood of an event happening. In the example above the price is 66 to sell and 67 to buy. You should buy if you think there is a greater … Continue reading
TRADEFAIR BINARIES OPENS FOR BUSINESS TODAY.
Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets
Tagged binaries, prediction markets, TradeFair
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Eventis Capital = great site name + empty content
Eventis Capital As I told Brad, the keys are to: set up a usable (= simple) website; build great content on prediction markets; get incoming links from big bloggers; obtain a PageRank superior or equal to 5/10; have Google Search … Continue reading
Our event derivatives should be cleared, quoted, liquid, transparent and regulated.
… just like ECX’s financial instruments (look at the bottom of the screen shot):
Inkling’s Dead Radiohead Market
Radiohead’s pick-your-own-price experiment, industry redefining move, publicity stunt for their album “In Rainbows†has had its 15 days or so of fame. Is there anybody out there still caring? Maybe not. In fact, judging by Inkling’s own Radiohead prediction market, … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Cases, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged Caveat Bettor, exchange manager, Global warming market, In Rainbows, Inkling, inkling markets, manager, prediction markets, pretty good marketing tool, Radiohead, Trader, USD
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