Monthly Archives: January 2007

John Tierney’s Prediction / Bet

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

It’s only a prediction, so far. If, later on, somebody puts down money on the opposite outcome, it will become a long-term bet. Note that there are only 18 bets, so far —while there is a long list of unmatched … Continue reading →

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Who will be the next French president? – REDUX

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

BetFair: – Nicolas Sarkozy (the man – Republican): 45.9% –> 46.3% –> 49.5% – Segolene Royal (the woman – Socialist): 54.1% –> 47.6% –> 47.2% That superficial woman [*] has made yet another series of gaffes [**] (as I predicted … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , | 5 Comments

Businesses are using internal prediction markets to see what their futures may hold.

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Entrepreneur .com (a French word, I will tell you in passing): Consensus Point charges $30,000 to $50,000 for its Foresight Server prediction market software. The company will also operate turnkey markets for clients for as little as $500 per month. … Continue reading →

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NETeller alternatives – REDUX

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Click2Play and MoneyBookers are out of the US market, following NETeller’s exit. Via a Deep Throat. Previous blog post.

Posted in Resources - References | Tagged | 1 Comment

17 New British Casinos

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Via Betting Market, the U.K. government: After careful consideration of the proposals and all the relevant evidence against the remitted criteria, the Panel recommend that the area in which a regional casino should be licensed is the City of Manchester. … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Jack Abramoff’s Political Connections

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Via Mister Risk Markets and Politics (via Aleks Jakulin — from CREW):

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CORRECTION: Avian Flu

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

I linked to both TradeSports and NewsFutures Avian flu prediction markets. I overlooked the fact that the NewsFutures contract is about any human form of Avian flu, only. My fault. I should have read the NewsFutures page more closely!! To … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged | Leave a comment

Welcome to InTrade: THE Prediction Market

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

#1. Appears only on the “version 2″ homepage (to which we are redirected when we click on the non-sports TradeSports contracts), not on the regular frontpage. #2. It would be better, in my view, to call InTrade a betting exchange … Continue reading →

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US Politics – Crossing The Political Aisle

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse
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Will Avian flu reach the EU before the US?

Posted on January 30, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Google News – “avian flu” — CORRECTION: The NewsFutures contract is about a human form of Avian flu, only. — NewsFutures (Avian flu will reach the EU before the US.): — InTrade-TradeSports (Bird flu (H5N1) to be confirmed in the … Continue reading →

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