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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Monthly Archives: September 2006
Internet gambling ban has passed.
The US Congress has approved the internet gambling ban bill. (Reuters, Wash Post). [Thanks to NY-based trader Steve Roman for the link.] TEN CEO John Delaney has been feeding the gullible media with the concept that, because TradeSports / InTrade … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry, Regulations
Tagged CEO, Congress, Dublin, gullible media, help@tradesports.com, Internet gambling, Internet gambling ban, internet gambling ban bill, internet gambling firms, John Delaney, NY-based trader, prediction markets, President, Reuters, Steve Roman, Trader, United States, United States Congress, unlawful internet gambling, US President
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Map of TradeSports prices for US Senate election
Lance Fortnow has created a continuously updated map showing the probability of winning for each 2006 US Senate candidate, according to the last-traded prices on TradeSports. The map was created partially in response to the popular US election poll map … Continue reading
Some prediction market blogs…
NewsFutures Blog – Note the new location (Word Press, as opposed to Blogger). Our good Doctor EJSS has suddendly discovered the open-source blogging software movement. Finally. Never too late. Let’s practice what we preach, man. Consensus Point Blog – David … Continue reading
Laureate of the 2006 Nobel Peace Prize?
Professor Tyler Cowen (of Marginal Revolution) finally discloses what everybody already knows: He’s a good economist and a popular blogger, but he is a lame predictor (just like most of us, probably). Let’s turn to prediction markets… well, there aren’t … Continue reading
Posted in Betting
Tagged Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, good economist, Lida Yusupova, Professor, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, Tyler Cowen
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NYT: Dems hope to take US Senate – TradeSports-InTrade probabilities: 18.5%
Drudge Report headline: New York Times: SENATE IN PLAY; DEM CHANCE FOR CONTROL IMPROVES TradeSports / InTrade odds for the Democrats (November 2006 elections): U.S. Senate: 18.5% – Transactions: 16,763 – Stable graph since inception U.S. House of Representatives: 45% … Continue reading
Use of automated market maker in play-money prediction markets
I have built a comprehensive journal issue on the use of automated market maker (AMM) in play-money prediction markets, with testimonials from: – Emile Servan-Schreiber (of NewsFutures); – Adam Siegel (of Inkling) – David Pennock (of Yahoo! Research & Yahoo! … Continue reading
HedgeStreet, play-money prediction exchange
Just kidding! I have noticed today a “Mock Trader” sub-website, which lets users practice trading for free. They give you $2,500 bucks (in play money). See also: BetFair Play For Fun – PredictionX – Chris Masse
TradeSports-InTrade prediction markets on Bush approval ratings
Donald Luskin notes that the text of this contract has a glitch. Probably, a TradeSports employee using a template has forgotten to delete an old text pertaining to US election prediction markets, while filling the “Rules” tab. (The webpage for … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, X Groups
Tagged Chris F. Masse, Chris Hibbert, Chris Masse, D day, Donald Luskin, George W. Bush, help@tradesports.com, human operator, Matt Bonner, Oil price, Political Party, prediction markets, President, software glitch, United States
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Welcome to Midas Oracle .ORG
Midas Oracle is born. – The Midas Oracle Network – Midas Oracle .ORG = Prediction Markets For All – Midas Oracle .NET = Prediction Markets For Enterprises – Midas Oracle .COM = Prediction Markets For People – Chris F. Masse … Continue reading