Tag Archives: Zogby

Final InTrade v. Zogby Showdown Results

Superdelegate chicanery notwithstanding, Obama has won his party’s nomination, so my head-to-head contest between a major pollster (Zogby) and major prediction market (Intrade) will be coming to a close. Unsurprising to those who know a little bit about the scholarship, … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments

The GOP SC and Dem NV Showdown: Intrade v. Zogby

If McCain wins SC, the GOP contest will be called for Intrade. If Thompson or Romney wins, that contest will be called for Zogby. If any other GOP candidate wins, the contest will end in a draw. If Obama wins … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Intrade markets and Zogby polls agree in New Hampshire

that Obama and McCain will be the winners tomorrow.

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment