Tag Archives: traded bets

Cliff Lee’s shocking choice to take less money and join the Philadelphia Phillies surprised the InTrade traders, too.

Posted on December 14, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

- USA Today. – InTrade on Cliff Lee. – Here’s the InTrade chart for “other teams” (other than the Yankees, Rangers, Mets and Nationals): Via Jason Ruspini

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Sports | Tagged baseball, bets, Betting, betting markets, Cliff Lee, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Mets, MLB, Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies, Phillies, prediction markets, Rangers, Sports, traded bets, Yankees | Leave a comment

BETFAIR RETRACTS FROM THE FRENCH MARKET.

Posted on April 29, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

And in retaliation, Mark Davies retracts from the French Riviera. Le Monde Op-Ed by 3 betting/gambling operators.

Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged BetFair, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, French Republic, laws, prediction markets, Regulations, traded bets | Leave a comment

Traded bets — a la Robin Hanson

Posted on June 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

“g” commenting on Robin Hanson’s blog: the main point of the transaction [i.e., a contract floated on a market] is that it happens in a framework set up to enable third parties to extract information from the bets made. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged betting markets, Collective Forecasting, event derivative markets, event derivatives, idea futures, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, traded bets | Leave a comment

InTrade CEO John Delaney’s comment to the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets) was so good that even a BetFair shareholder loved it.

Posted on July 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Sean Park (who invested in Betfair at inception): [...] I was heartened to read John Delaneyâ€™s (InTrade CEO) contribution [...]. I would certainly have endorsed this contribution – well crafted, robust, articulate and (imo) stating the blindingly obvious [...]. – … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged CEO, CFTC, CME Group, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, InTrade, InTrade CEO, John Delaney, laws, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Sean Park, traded bets, United States | 1 Comment

Who are the “notable exceptions” whom InTrade CEO John Delaney talked about in his comment to the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets). HINT, HINT: That’s not Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers.

Posted on July 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): Nearly all leading academics, not known for their attraction to unanimity, have publicly supported event markets. A great majority of these academics have been supplied with Intrade … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, People, Regulations | Tagged CEO, CFTC, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, InTrade, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, Koleman Stumpf, laws, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robin Hanson, Steve Levitt, Steven Levitt, traded bets | Leave a comment

How InTrade CEO John Delaney tried to undo the great damage done to the prediction market industry by Bob’s little minions (among them, Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers)

Posted on July 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged CEO, CFTC, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, InTrade, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, laws, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robin Hanson, traded bets | Leave a comment

How InTrade CEO John Delaney rightfully spanked the posteriors of Bob’s little minions (among them, Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers)

Posted on July 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

How InTrade CEO John Delaney rightfully slammed Bob’s little minions (among them, Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers) as hypocrite and short-sighted —and how he told the CFTC to put Bob’s petition (signed by Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers, among others) in the trash can (where it belongs).

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

“In its upcoming proceedings, therefore, the CFTC should exempt prediction markets from regulations that would prevent them from flourishing, like requiring that such shares be traded on designated commodity exchanges.”

Posted on July 11, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

… wrote that academic guy in the Wall Street Journal. But he doesn’t mention that HedgeStreet and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (and the CBOT) are all for the “excluded commodities” and the “Designated Contract Makers” way. – Honesty and fairness, … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged CFTC, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, CME Group, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, HedgeStreet, Ivory Tower, laws, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, The Wall Street Journal, traded bets, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

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