Tag Archives: Tom Brady

The Value of Tom Brady?

New England Patriots’ quarterback Tom Brady suffered a season-ending injury during yesterday’s game with the Kansas City Chiefs. After he left the game and before the extent of the injury was known, the TradeSport’s contract on whether the Pats would … Continue reading

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ProTrade co-founder Jeff Ma gives inklings.

ProTrade’s Jeff Ma: [...] The book Moneyball was a great inspiration for starting PROTRADE. Mike Kerns (who is the real brains behind the PROTRADE idea) and I both read Moneyball and felt it changed our lives. Conceptually PROTRADE began as … Continue reading

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The methodology of prediction market event study — Multiple Causes Edition — REDUX

Keith Jacks Gamble on Michael Abramowicz’s Gamble on Gambling on Keith Jacks Gamble’s Super Bowl Analysis Highlights: I agree that the simultaneity problem and the anticipation problem are confounding factors in assessing a player’s contribution to his team’s chance of … Continue reading

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The methodology of prediction market event study — Multiple Causes Edition

Michael Abramowicz on Keith Jacks Gamble’s Super Bowl Analysis Highlights: But there are at least two reasons to be skeptical of this approach as a general way of assessing player contributions: (1) The simultaneity problem. Football is a team sport, … Continue reading

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