Tag Archives: the Financial Times

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

The CFTC extends its regulatory arm to… the City of London.

Posted on June 24, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

A CFTC Commissioner in the Financial Times: So what effects do the Durbin legislation and the CFTC regulatory action have? Are they the kind of “excessive” regulation contemplated by the Balls Clause? Given the circumstances of the trading activity and … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance, Regulations | Tagged CFTC, CFTC Commissioner, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, derivative exchanges, energy products, Finance, laws, London, London Loophole, oil derivatives, Regulations, the Financial Times, United States, work-able regulatory solution | Leave a comment

Robust, the prediction markets are the best mechanism for aggregating information. Thus, companies should use them for assessing strategy and hedging risks.

Posted on May 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Via Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures, John Auters in the Financial Times. [...] This leads to [Justin Wolfers]‘ claim that [prediction markets] are the best way to aggregate information. This is true of any given amount of information. Take three economists … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Finance | Tagged bet exchanges, betting exchanges, betting markets, Collective Intelligence, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, Financial Times, information aggregation, John Auters, Justin Wolfers, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, the Financial Times, wisdom of crowds | 5 Comments

??? charity-driven prediction markets OR social issue prediction markets ???

Posted on April 21, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

BOTH. But, contrary to what Lucy Berholtz thinks, the former will go further than the latter —in my view. – My thoughts about the Financial Times article on Bet2Give: I have said from day one that it’s a great idea. … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Philanthropy | Tagged Bet 2 Give, Bet2Give, charity, charity-driven prediction markets, Emile Servan-Schreiber, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Financial Times, Foundations, Lucy Berholtz, NewsFutures, Open Organizations, philanthopy, prediction markets, social issue prediction markets, social issues, the Financial Times, Tyler Cowen, United States | Leave a comment

Unlike the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, and soon CNBC and another network, the New York Times does not propose a game based on a prediction market mechanism.

Posted on January 2, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

The New York Times 2008 Football Playoffs Challenge, Powered By Predictify Players can compete against each other and NYT sports columnists by picking the winner and margin of victory for every playoff game. The leaderboard will track winners at the … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged football, New York Times, Predictify, sports columnists, the Financial Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

The Iowa Electronic Markets is a tiny prediction exchange.

Posted on December 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Financial Times: â€œWe currently have 2,134 traders with access to the election markets, and 1,268 on the academic markets,â€ Mr Reitz says. The IEM is a total, complete and definitive joke. It’s a scandal that they are the only … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity | Tagged IEM, Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets, Reitz, the Financial Times | 2 Comments

Iowa Caucus: British blogger Mike Smithson is selling Hillary Clinton short.

Posted on December 7, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Mike Smithson in the Financial Times today: [...] Feeding the development of political gambling is in his own interest. Mr Smithson estimates that there are as few as 1,500 regular political gamblers [*] in the UK, although the number swells … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Market Calls), Betting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Arkansas, GBP, Hillary Clinton, Iowa, Mike Huckabee, Mike Smithson, online gambling, the Financial Times, United Kingdom, United States, US political elections, US President, US presidential elections | Leave a comment

Financial Times prints BetFair’s digital odds.

Posted on December 4, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

If I were the web editor of the Financial Times, I would request my writers to translate the digital odds into probabilities expressed in percentages. — In the U.K., who will be the next full time leader of the Liberal … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged BetFair, Financial Times, full time leader, Liberal Democrat Party, Nick Clegg, prediction markets, the Financial Times, United Kingdom, web editor | Leave a comment

British prosecutor spins like a top the BetFair virtues inside the courtroom.

Posted on October 9, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Irish jockey Kieren Fallon, accused of being a member of a “conspiracy”: Lefteris Pitarakis / AP — Via mister Niall O’Connor, BBC News: The object of the conspiracy was to wager large amounts of money on a particular horse to … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged BBC, BetFair, Fallon trial, GBP, internet betting exchanges, Jonathan Caplan, Kieren Fallon, Niall O'Connor, prediction markets, prosecutor, the Financial Times | Leave a comment

US Online Gambling: Don’t bet on it.

Posted on September 24, 2007 by Niall O'Connor

One or two traders were caught out Friday, following a late afternoon surge in the share price of both Sportingbet and PartyGaming. Sportingbet shares were up 15.9% at 43 3/4p whilst PartyGaming climbed 9.5% to 26p. Two factors may have … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged Caribbean, European Union, Interactive Media Entertainment & Gaming Association, Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, Niall O'Connor, online gambling, online gaming, PartyGaming, pence, Sportingbet, the Financial Times, United States, United States Department of Justice, warehouse services, World Trade Organization | Leave a comment

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