Tag Archives: Ted Kennedy

Republican Scott Brown has become the Senator-elect from Massachusetts.

Posted on January 20, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged election, elections, InTrade, Martha Coakley, Massachusetts, Nate Silver, Politics, prediction market, prediction markets, Scott Brown, Ted Kennedy, United States Senate, US politics, US Senate | Leave a comment

Massachusetts special election: Nate Silver knowns nothing. —REDUX

Posted on January 19, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Nate Silver: There are many assumptions in this model which may not be valid []. Although I believe that these are generally a fairly well-balanced set of assumptions relative to the universe of possible assumptions (i.e. alternate sets of assumptions … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics | Tagged election, elections, Martha Coakley, Massachusetts, Nate Silver, Politics, Scott Brown, Ted Kennedy, United States Senate, US politics, US Senate | Leave a comment

Massachusetts special election: Nate Silver knowns nothing.

Posted on January 18, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

6 scenarios United States Senate special election in Massachusetts, 2010

Good Taste?

Posted on January 23, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Will Ted kennedy still be alive on August 1st 2009?

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged death, HubDub, prediction markets, Ted Kennedy | Leave a comment

Michael Moore tells the Democratic people to go Barack Obama in Pennsylvania (a two-tier state), but the polls and the prediction markets tell us that that won’t do the trick.

Posted on April 22, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

I don’t get to vote for President this primary season. I live in Michigan. The party leaders (both here and in D.C.) couldn’t get their act together, and thus our votes will not be counted. So, if you live in … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 Pennsylvania primary, 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, BetFair, Catholic Church, Democratic, Democratic candidate, democrats, Hamas, Hillary Clinton, HubDub, InTrade, Los Angeles Times, meta forecasting tools, Michael Moore, Michigan, NewsFutures, Pennsylvania, Politics, prediction markets, President, Republican candidate, Stephen Colbert, Ted Kennedy, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party | 1 Comment

Intrade politics roundup, May 18

Posted on May 18, 2007 by Alex Forshaw

Monsieur Masse asked me to offer another nomination-futures roundup. I was happy to oblige. First, the Republicans. Fred Thompson has not impressed at his two “policy” speeches thus far (the first in OC, the second at the “Council for National … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged added media attention, Barack, Council for National Policy, environmental activist, Florida, Fred Thompson, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ron Paul, South Carolina, Ted Kennedy, Tom Bevan, Virginia | 3 Comments