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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: swine flu
Were prediction markets useless during the H1N1 breakout?
Lance Fortnow: Might this be an instance where prediction markets greatly out-performed the experts? In short, no. There were relevant markets but two big problems: No one thought to create a market for the number of flu cases over a … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements
Tagged betting markets, CDC, Center For Desease Control, Collective Forecasting, event derivative contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, H1N1, Influenza A (H1N1), prediction markets, swine flu
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What’s next for the Swine Flu (H1N1) alert level: 4 or 6?
Whats next for the Swine Flu alert level: 4 or 6?
Making money on the spreading (or taming) of H1N1
For info, see our good friend “Caveat Bettor”, which is the pseudonym of a savvy New York-based financial expert —who made no mystery of his real identity to moi (I won’t tell). See also “Wiser Than The Crowd”, which is … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism
Tagged anonymity, betting markets, bloggers, blogging, Collective Forecasting, event derivative markets, H1N1, Influenza A (H1N1), InTrade, Open Media, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, pseudonyms, swine flu, Wiser Than The Crowd
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Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged adam and danny, American Idol, betting markets, boston celtics, Collective Forecasting, contestants, divorce, epidemic, event derivative markets, female justice, final two, H1N1, HubDub, influenza, Influenza A (H1N1), Italy, Justice Souter, Mexican Flu, Mexico, National Basketball Association, NBA, nba playoffs, new wife, orlando magic, pandemic, playoffs, prediction markets, Silvio Berlusconi, Sonia Sotomayor, souter, Supreme Court, supreme court justices, supreme court nominees, swine flu, WHO, World Health Organization, young woman
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Vertical Media vs. Prediction Markets vs. Mass Media
Let’s rank institutions according to who has dealt first with the swine flu: Vertical media and local media — starting Tuesday, April 21, 2009 Mass media, news aggregators, and user-created prediction markets (a la HubDub) — starting Friday, April 24, … Continue reading
Google users are digging around to get the probability of a Swine Flu pandemy.
- Interestingly, the results are very different with “swine flu predictions”. Predictify is above HubDub in both cases, you’ll notice. – External Links: – Google Trends – Google Insights for Search Previously: Swine Flu Prediction Markets
Swine Flu Prediction Markets
will there be confirmed cases of swine flu on every continent by july 1? – SWINE FLU 2009: How many states will report cases of Swine flu by the end of May? – Will the Mexican/U.S. swine flu (A/H1N1) grow … Continue reading