Tag Archives: surveys

US entrepreneurs pray and meditate more than non-entrepreneurs. — [SURVEY]

Most Americans believe that God has a plan for them. PDF file.

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Paul Hewitt on the usefulness of the prediction markets — [ANALYSIS]

Paul Hewitt: I don’t think there is any question that the usefulness of prediction markets has been exaggerated. We don’t hear much from James Surowiecki anymore. So a few of those polled probably indicated that he doesn’t exaggerate the usefulness … Continue reading

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Have Robin Hanson, Justin Wolfers and James Surowiecki been exaggerating the usefulness of the prediction markets? — [SURVEY RESULT]

Here’s the result of the Kauffman Foundation poll: – UPDATE: Here’s an example (among many) of the grave problems with prediction markets, which are unreported by the media. – PDF document. – - – - – - – - – … Continue reading

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iPad stats – [REPORT]

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2011 Q1′s economic blogger survey – [POLL]

Kauffman Foundation – PDF file.

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So much for Prof Panos and his data religion

People answer bullshit when polled by Prof Panos and other stats collectors.

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Prediction markets feed on facts and expertise.

Via Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock of Odd Head and YooPick, the dear honorable Duncan Watts: In part because of disappointing findings such as this, an increasingly popular substitute for expert opinions are so-called “prediction markets,” in which individuals buy … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Predictify is about building track records of human predictors.

Robert Scoble interviews their CTO. Video – - Predictify is not a prediction exchange. We think prediction markets are superior to polls and surveys, don’t we? With Predictify, the mechanism delivering the collective verdict is simplistic: it’s a poll —with … Continue reading

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