Tag Archives: Supreme Court

U.S. Supreme Court Prediction Market — [PAPER]

Recently posted to SSRN: FantasySCOTUS: Crowdsourcing a Prediction Market for the Supreme Court, a draft paper by Josh Blackman, Adam Aft, & Corey Carpenter assessing the accuracy of the Harlan Institute’s U.S. Supreme Court prediction market, FantasySCOTUS.org. The paper compares … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Proposals), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Are Prediction Markets Constitutional?

I think so*, although it could be a matter for states to decide, and not so much the federal government. In that scenario, my thought is that some liberal (in the classic sense) states will allow experimentation with prediction markets, … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Politics, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Veteran Republican Vic Gold describes VP Dick Cheney as a MEGA-MANIACAL PARANOID whose secret empire within the government has captured the George W. Bush presidency and helped bring the Republican Party to the brink of ruin.

Eleanor Clift: A longtime confidant of the Bush and Cheney families describes the dangerous influence of the vice president. Vic Gold’s book: Invasion of the Party Snatchers: How the Holy-Rollers and the Neo-Cons Destroyed the GOP Washington Post’s dossier on … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

If the Supreme Court can strike down laws as unconstitutional, why shouldn’t the Council of Economic Advisers be able to strike down laws as UNECONOMICAL?

Gary J. Bass in The New York Times… on Brian Caplan’s new book (The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies). –> Would the Council of Economic Advisers have struck down the Unlawful Internet Gambling and Enforcement … Continue reading

Posted in Politics, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

A year ago my approval rating was in the 30s, my nominee for the Supreme Court had just withdrawn, and my vice president had shot someone.

Ah, those were the good ol’ days. Bush 43 at the Radio and Television Correspondents’ Association dinner.

Posted in Humor | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment