Tag Archives: statistical models

REVOLUTION: Nate Silver says the Internet changed everything in politics. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

16:35 into, Nate Silver is asked whether he would open up the data fire hose, one day:

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SXSW: Nate Silver explains how he approached political forecasting for the 2008 US presidential elections. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

In part #2, he speaks about the books he is writing:

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Nate Silver explains how he builds his forecasting models. – [VIDEO]

Posted on March 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Via Joe Weisenthal

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The relative advantage of prediction markets (over conventional means of forecasting, namely polls and statistical models) is remarkably… SMALL.

Posted on January 22, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Sharad Goel: In a new study, Daniel Reeves, Duncan Watts, Dave Pennock and I compare the performance of prediction markets to conventional means of forecasting, namely polls and statistical models. Examining thousands of sporting and movie events, we find that … Continue reading →

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Andrew Gelman on forecasting and statistical models

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Andrew Gelman visits Google’s Mountain View headquarters: The 2008 presidential election and state polls:

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Forecasting the Economy: Art, Science or Both?

Posted on September 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Professor Ryan Ratcliff takes an inside look at the art and science of forecasting.

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