Tag Archives: sports contracts

Super Bowl Analysis Highlights — Keith Jacks Gamble’s Second Turn

Posted on February 15, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

A bunch of Marginal Revolution commenters dared criticizing Keith Jacks Gamble’s Super Bowl Analysis Highlights (+ addendum). The impudence! The audacity! They called down the thunder; they should get ready for the boom. [*] Yes, the results of individual plays … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Sports vs. Non-Sports Divestiture

Posted on December 29, 2006 by Caveat Bettor

Regarding the Trade Exchange Network’s announcement that it is divesting its sports related business, this is what I have cross-posted on CaveatBettor I don’t really like this development, because it appears to bifurcate capital and traders into separate, smaller universes … Continue reading →

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Summary of the Tradesports DEMS.HOUSE.OVER29.5 issue, and the TS “credibility gap”

Posted on November 20, 2006 by Alex Forshaw

In the past weeks, there was something of a dust-up over TS’ handling of the DEMS.HOUSE.OVER29.5 contract. According to all American media, the Democrats needed 15 new House seats to gain control of the House of Representatives. And, indeed, in … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Does Liquidity Affect Securities Market Efficiency? – Paul Tetlock’s new abstract

Posted on November 16, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Does Liquidity Affect Securities Market Efficiency? – (PDF – Listed at CFM) – [previous title: Does Noise Trading Affect Securities Market Efficiency?] – by Paul Tetlock – 2006-11-XX The basic idea of the paper is simple. I measure liquidity and … Continue reading →

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“Friends of TradeSports: Please vote today!” – Dixit trader “Caveat Bettor”

Posted on November 7, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

OK, let’s vote to save TradeSports, Caveat Bettor. But, who should we vote for, in this election, Caveat Bettor? What are your instructions, Caveat Bettor? The Dems? They voted in favor of the damn law, in the US House. The … Continue reading →

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TradeSports-InTrade: We’re a prediction exchange, NOT a bookmaker or sportsbook.

Posted on November 6, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

TEN CEO John Delaney, once again, made his point: As you know we operate an exchange. We are not bookmakers. The new and historical laws apply to bookmakers. To which trader “Abacus” replied: If this were my company I’d also … Continue reading →

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