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- Native apps are reigning on mobiles, but Jakob Nielsen strategically bets on web apps. — [LINK]
- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
Tag Archives: socially valuable prediction markets
Socially valuable betting (based on accountable predictions) has long been legal in America, professor Hanson. — [AWARENESS]
Robin Hanson: A track record tech must be combined with a social equilibrium that punishes those with poor records, and thus encourages rivals and victims to collect and report records. The lesson I take for forecast accuracy is that it … Continue reading
Posted in Betting, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice)
Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, Collective Intelligence, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasting, Long bets, Long Now Foundation, long-term, long-term predictions, mid-term predictions, predicting, prediction markets, social utility, socially valluable bets, socially valuable prediction markets, wisdom of crowds
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There is an apetite for socially valuable predictions and forecasts, out there.
That post had no original content. Just the republication of the HubDub prediction market charts. (I will update that post with new links to InTrade and IEM.) P.S.: I will show you the InTrade charts, later on. But as you … Continue reading
I did drop BetFair from the Midas Oracle coverage of the prediction markets. They should re-establish the direct links, from their 2 frontpages, to the prediction markets on politics, finance, and the other socially valuable issues.
- – So, I won’t blog anymore on BetFair (other than re-publishing up this post) till they fix their 2 frontpages and put back the direct links to the prediction markets on politics, finance, and the other socially valuable issues. … Continue reading
I dropped BetFair from the Midas Oracle coverage of the prediction markets. They should re-establish the direct links, from their 2 frontpages, to the prediction markets on politics, finance, and the other socially valuable issues.
- – So, I won’t blog anymore on BetFair (other than re-publishing up this post) till they fix their 2 frontpages and put back the direct links to the prediction markets on politics, finance, and the other socially valuable issues. … Continue reading
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Resources - References
Tagged BetFair, Chris Masse, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, Politics, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, socially valuable prediction markets, special bets
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I am dropping BetFair from the Midas Oracle coverage of the prediction markets —until they re-establish the direct links, from their 2 frontpages, to the prediction markets on politics, finance, and the other socially valuable issues.
- – So, this is my last post on BetFair till they fix their 2 frontpages and put back the direct links to the prediction markets on politics, finance, and the other socially valuable issues. – APPENDIX: Here’s my July … Continue reading
Chris Masse’s pragmatism
Supporting the development of big, for-profit, generalist prediction exchanges (which get most of their revenues from sports prediction markets); Asking the biggest prediction exchanges to organize socially valuable prediction markets. – Don’t you rate me as a “pragmatist”, doc? -
CFTC Oversight May Not be a Boon.
I want to quibble with one of Dave Pennock’s comments on the CFTC request. Pennock wrote “It’s not often that an industry in its infancy cries out for more government oversight.” It’s actually quite common. The term in the economics … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations
Tagged BetFair, CFTC, Chris Hibbert, DAVE PENNOCK, David Pennock, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, innovation, laws, prediction markets, public prediction markets, public relations problems, Regulations, socially valuable prediction markets, TradeSports
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