Tag Archives: Secretary

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: â€œConcept Release … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 4th of July, ABC, Acting Chairman, American Enterprise Institute, Andy Serwer, Arthur Levitt Jr., Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Brookings Joint Centre, Bush, Cato Institute, CEO, CFTC, Charles Noussair, Chicago, Chicago Tribune, Chief Executive Officer, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, David Leonhardt, David Paton, David Pennock, de facto leader, Economics Reporter, economist, energy, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, European Central Bank, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, evet derivatives, federal government, Federal Reserve System, Florida, Fortune, Frankfurt, general public use, George Mason University, governor, HDDVD, Important Mission, InTrade, InTrade CEO, Ireland, Ivy League College, Jason Ruspini, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, KING, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London, managing editor, Marco Ottaviani, Mark J. Perry, Mark Perry, media businesses, Michigan, naturaldisaster, New York, North Korea, Paul Tetlock, prediction exchanges, Prediction Market Limited, prediction markets, President, price discovery information, Professor, professor of economics, Ray Disc, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Reuters, Richmond, Robert Mugabe, Robin Hanson, Saddam Hussein, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, Stephen Dubner, the Financial Times, The Los Angles Times, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, TIME MAGAZINE, Toshiba, traded bets, U.S. Department of Energy, United States, United States Navy, University of Michigan-Flint, University of Westminster Business School, US government, USD, Wall Street Journal, Walt Lukken, What InTrade, White House, Yoshiaki Arata | 3 Comments

Chris Masse’s second comment to the CFTC on “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 9, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Chris F. Masse Midas Oracle cfm —— midasoracle —— com chrisfmasse —— gmail —— com July 6th, 2008 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st St. NW Washington D.C. 20581 Attention: Office of the Secretariat- secretary@cftc.gov Reference: Concept … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged American Enterprise Institute, Barack Obama, BetFair, CFTC, Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, David Pennock, decision support tools, Eric Zitzewitz, European Union, event derivative markets, event derivatives, false solutions, France, Google, HedgeStreet, Internet search engine, InTrade, Justin Wolfers, Koleman Strumpf, Lafayette Centre, laws, prediction markets, President, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, research scientist, retail customers, retail traders, Robin Hanson, Search Engine, Secretary, Tom W. Bell, TradeFair, TradeSports, United Kingdom, United States, USD, web searches, Yahoo! | 3 Comments

Chris Masse’s first comment to the CFTC on “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 9, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Chris F. Masse Midas Oracle cfm —– midasoracle —– com chrisfmasse —– gmail —– com July 6th, 2008 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st St. NW Washington D.C. 20581 Attention: Office of the Secretariat- secretary@cftc.gov Reference: Concept … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Regulations | Tagged American Enterprise Institute, Barack Obama, business media organizations, CFM, CFTC, Chris F. Masse, Chris Masse, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, European Union, event derivative markets, event derivatives, France, Jason Ruspini, Lafayette Centre, law professor, laws, prediction markets, President, Professor, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Secretary, Tom W. Bell, United States, Vernon Smith | Leave a comment

What Robin Hanson told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Posted on July 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Robin Hanson: Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2008 10:12:46 -0400 To: secretary@cftc.gov From: Robin Hanson <rhanson@gmu.edu> Subject: Comment on “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts” —————————————————————- I am an event market innovator, having published the first detailed … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Economics, Inventions & Innovations, Regulations | Tagged 703-993-2323, 703-993-2326, associate professor, BusinessWeek, Carow Hall, CFTC, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, F.T.C., future, George Mason University, Humanity Institute, Humanity Institute at Oxford University, individual trader, insurance markets, laws, Oxford University, prediction markets, professor of economics, public web markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Research Associate, Robin Hanson, Secretary, Tom W. Bell, Trader, USD | 5 Comments

The CFTC is going to close the comments in 3 days. We have 3 days left to convince the CFTC to accept FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges (e.g., InTrade USA or BetFair USA), and counter the puritan and sterile petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).

Posted on July 4, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- ADDRESSES: Comments should be sent to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Three Lafayette Centre, 1155 21st Street, NW., Washington, DC 20581, Attention: Office of the Secretariat. Comments may be sent by facsimile to 202.418.5521, or by e-mail to secretary@cftc.gov. … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 202.418.5578, American Enterprise Institute, Bruce Fekrat, CFTC, Chris Hibbert, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, D.C., Director, Division of Market Oversight, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, for-profit prediction exchanges, governor, International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Iraq, Jason Ruspini, Jed Christiansen, JONATHAN GEWIRTZ, laws, Michael Giberson, not-for-profit prediction exchanges, office, Paul Wolfowitz, Porter lawyer, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, Robin Hanson, Secretary, Special Counsel, The BusinessWeek, Three Lafayette Centre, Tom W. Bell, United States Of America, Vernon Smith, Washington, young economist | Leave a comment

The CFTC is going to close the comments in 4 days. We have 4 days left to convince the CFTC to accept FOR-PROFIT prediction exchanges (e.g., InTrade USA or BetFair USA), and counter the puritan and sterile petition organized by the American Enterprise Institute (which has on its payroll Paul Wolfowitz, the bright masterminder of the Iraq war).

Posted on July 3, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 202.418.5578, American Enterprise Institute, Bruce Fekrat, CFTC, Chris Hibbert, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, D.C., Director, Division of Market Oversight, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event markets, for-profit prediction exchanges, governor, International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Iraq, Jason Ruspini, Jed Christiansen, JONATHAN GEWIRTZ, laws, Michael Giberson, not-for-profit prediction exchanges, office, Paul Wolfowitz, Porter lawyer, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Regulations, Secretary, Special Counsel, Three Lafayette Centre, Tom W. Bell, United States Of America, Vernon Smith, Washington, young economist | 1 Comment

CFTC’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts

Posted on June 17, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

CFTC – (PDF file): CFTC’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts – SUMMARY: The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (Commission or CFTC) is soliciting comment on the appropriate regulatory treatment of financial agreements offered by markets commonly … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Regulations | Tagged 202.418.5521, 202.418.5578, AEI-Brookings Joint Center, American Enterprise Institute, bet markets, betting markets, binary options, Bruce Fekrat, by-products, Capper, catastrophe single event insurance option contracts, CFTC, Chicago Board Of Trade, commodity futures, commodity futures contracts, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, commodity options, commodity options contracts, Congress, cottonseed oil, crude oil, D.C., David A. Stawick, definitions, Director, Division of Market Oversight, Eric W. Zitzewitz, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, event markets, Explainers, futures contracts, futures markets, governor, Hal R. Varian, House Committee on Agriculture, House-Senate Conference Committee, InTrade, Iraq, Jason Ruspini, Justin Wolfers, laws, legalization, livestock products, Michael Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, natural gas, office, particular candidate for political office, particular presidential candidate, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Wolfowitz, peanut oil, Porter, prediction markets, predictive tools, producer, real-money prediction markets, Regulations, retail customers, retail market participants, retail users, Robert W. Hahn, Secretary, Senate, Senate Committee on Agriculture and Forestry, South Carolina, soybean oil, Special Counsel, specific candidate, specific farmer, the New York Times, The University of Iowa, Three Lafayette Centre, Tom W. Bell, Trader, United States, United States Of America, University of Iowa Departments of Accounting and Economics, University's College of Business Administration, USD, Valencia, Vernon Smith, Washington, West Coast, young economist | 24 Comments

Could information go backward in time?

Posted on May 26, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Applied to the psychological arrow of time, that would mean that we could remember the future, instead of the past. We would make a killing on prediction markets if we knew in advance how all contacts would expire. But, in … Continue reading →

Posted in Precognition, Science | Tagged backward causality, backwards causation, Eliezer Yudkowsky, Louis De Broglie, Olivier Costa De Beauregard, physics, Porto, Precognition, prediction markets, quantum mechanics, quantum physics, retrocausality, retrocausation, Robin Hanson, Science, Secretary, time symmetry, zigzagging causality | 15 Comments

CFTC Requests Public Input on Possible Regulation of â€œEvent Contractsâ€ —a.k.a. event derivative markets, event futures markets, betting markets, bet markets, prediction markets

Posted on May 1, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Via professor Eric Zitzewitz of Dartmouth (one of the top 5 economists studying prediction markets), the CFTC: Release: 5493-08 For Release: May 1, 2008 CFTC Requests Public Input on Possible Regulation of â€œEvent Contractsâ€ Washington, DC â€“ The Commodity Futures … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged Acting Chairman, bet markets, betting markets, CFTC, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, D.C., Eric Zitzewitz, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures markets, governor, prediction markets, Secretary, Via professor, Walt Lukken, Washington | Leave a comment

Will HedgeStreet USA, the hypothetical InTrade USA, and the hypothetical TradeFair USA, be regulated in the future by a merged SEC+CFTC regulatory structure?

Posted on March 31, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

That sounds like a good prediction market proposal. – As you all know: The SEC regulates the securities markets (which support capital formation). The CFTC regulates the futures markets (which exist to discover prices). The SEC is rules based, meaning … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Regulations | Tagged Acting Chairman, CFTC, CFTC Acting Chairman Walt Lukken Regarding Department, Chicago Tribune, CME Group, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Congress, D.C., Department of the Treasury, good government solutions, hybrid products, Jason Ruspini, merger, Paulson, SEC, Secretary, Securities and Exchange Commission, The Wall Street Journal, U.S. Department, United States, US Treasury, USD, Walt Lukken, Washington | Leave a comment

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