Tag Archives: scientific approach

What is science? Are science and rationality the same thing? If science was something new, what sort of a new thing was science? – [VIDEO]

Posted on December 9, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Michael Vassar – From global warming to evolution :

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The prediction markets chalk another one up, as Susan Boyle is sent packing.

Posted on May 30, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I have an ongoing disagreement with Prof Panos about how to report a set of expired prediction markets. He claims that one should report “the historic average of similar markets”. That’s important but not urgent. First thing is to report … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Why reporting on *one* expired prediction market is no fun… when using the scientific approach

Posted on May 28, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Panos Ipeirotis hates it when I report an individual prediction market “failure“. (“Stupidity” is how he labelled it. ) I am a fan of Panos Ipeirotis’s scientific approach on prediction markets. It is all right. However, I (obviously) won’t use … Continue reading →

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