Tag Archives: Saddam Hussein

What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: “Concept Release … Continue reading

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Based on the analysis of some 600,000 official Iraqi documents seized by US forces after the invasion and thousands of hours of interrogations of former officials in Saddam’s government now in US custody, there is no evidence Saddam Hussein had ties to Al Qaeda.

ABC News PDF file

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WILL GMU PROFESSOR ROBIN HANSON LOSE HIS SHIRT, ONCE AGAIN???

Most Honest Person of the Year 2004: Prof. Robin Hanson, who placed a bet with TradeSports/InTrade, lost 100% of his speculative investment, and did not hide in a spider hole (as I would have done to make sure the world … Continue reading

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Malcolm Gladwell’s Blink + James Surowiecki’s The Wisdom Of Crowds

— What Do We Mean When We Talk About Intuition? – by James Surowiecki [...] This suggests that the real challenge is figuring out which problems can be solved by rapid cognition and which are better solved by a calculating, … Continue reading

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Fox News is bad, therefore Rupert Murdoch is bad, therefore Rupert Murdoch buying the Wall Street Journal is bad.

Quite a simplistic reasoning, right? Paul Krugman is not a sophisticated thinker. That said, Paul Krugman has one good point: In October 2003, the nonpartisan Program on International Policy Attitudes published a study titled “Misperceptions, the media and the Iraq … Continue reading

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