Tag Archives: Sacha Peter

A Canadian event derivative trader reflects on the future of InTrade and Tradesports.

Sacha Peter: The future of Intrade and Tradesports About a week ago, Tradesports announced that they were closing down. Tradesports was the primary operation behind the prediction market, until in the beginning of 2007 they split up into Tradesports (which … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , , | 11 Comments

Meet event derivative trader Sacha Peter.

Sacha Peter

Posted in People | Tagged , | Leave a comment

HSX = an advanced indicator for TradeSports traders??? – REDUX 2

This is a recent picture of traitor Mike Linksvayer (much better than the New York Times picture where he looked like an angry chimp): — First, Mike Linksvayer sided with moi: [Hollywood Stock Exchange] could be an indicator that the … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

HSX = an advanced indicator for TradeSports traders??? – REDUX

When Sacha Peter roasted me publicly, it made headlines. And now that Mike Linksvayer takes my defense, they put it on page twenty something, and nobody will notice it, of course.

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators | Tagged , | Leave a comment

Canadian election prediction markets

Canadian trader Sacha Peter (who roasted me publicly last Sunday) tells me that elections in Canada may happen in March or April 2007. And he tells me that TradeSports is currently the only “entity” minding the Canadian elections —see the … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

HSX vs. TRADESPORTS – CANADIAN TRADER SACHA PETER CAN’T READ ENGLISH.

I disagree with his disagreement. Aren’t you impressed by WHAT FOLLOWS? – TRADERS HIT A PERFECT 100% OF OSCAR WINNERS. – February 28, 2005 – TRADERS HIT 87.5% OF OSCAR NOMINATIONS. – January 31, 2006 – TRADERS HIT 88% OF … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

TradeSports-InTrade: John Bolton to be US Ambassador to UN on 31 June 2007

Sacha Peter: Fix the Bolton contract Right now you have it as “John Bolton to be US Ambassador to UN on 31 June 2007“. Since there are only 30 days in June the contract, as worded, is guaranteed to expire … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

TradeSports-InTrade writes clearer contracts, now, says Alex Forshaw.

Alex Forshaw: Regardless, it seems that TS has internalized that lesson. According to Midas Oracle [CFM: which cited Sacha Peter], their Bolton contract now follows an “at time X, the situation will be 0 or 1″ format. That is a … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

TradeSports-InTrade: United Nations > John Bolton as US Ambassador to United Nations – REDUX

I’ve spotted an interesting comment from Canadian trader Sacha Peter on the TradeSports forum: This will be an interesting contract. Essentially, will Bush recess appoint him? I can’t see him getting past the senate confirmation process. I lost a few … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

TradeSports-InTrade: United Nations > John Bolton as US Ambassador to United Nations

I’m curious to see who’s going to be on the “yes” side of this brand-new contract. From what I heard yesterday on NBC Nightly News, this neo-con is toasted. But maybe I don’t know the full story. Addendum (November 15): … Continue reading

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment