Tag Archives: reputations

Like the New Hampshire prediction markets, the “Sarah Palin as the Republican vice-presidential nominee” prediction markets (from InTrade, BetFair and HubDub) are bringing a bad reputation to the whole prediction market industry.

Posted on September 2, 2008 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Nigel Eccles says that HubDub generates “data on peoples’ reputations for accurately analyzing and forecasting future events”.

Posted on July 27, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Yes. Why is it that 99,99% of the HubDub traders uses a pseudonym and a comic strip drawing on their user profile webpage, then?… -

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Predictify is about building track records of human predictors.

Posted on June 10, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Robert Scoble interviews their CTO. Video – - Predictify is not a prediction exchange. We think prediction markets are superior to polls and surveys, don’t we? With Predictify, the mechanism delivering the collective verdict is simplistic: it’s a poll —with … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment