Tag Archives: Professor

Horizon 2015: A long-term strategic perspective for the real-money prediction markets

Announcing the “Horizon 2015″ group. – The year 2008 in the field of prediction markets will be marked by these 4 events: The CFTC will soon announce that InTrade, TradeSports and BetFair are still unwelcomed in the United States of … Continue reading

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What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: “Concept Release … Continue reading

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ALL OUR ENERGY PROBLEMS… SOLVED.

Via professor Michael Giberson (who now shares feed items with me within Google Reader)… – - We now need a set of prediction markets on that. -

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Is the BetFair’s brand-new bet-matching logic (which matches bets across related selections) the first time a prediction exchange manages to increase liquidity WITHOUT augmenting the number of traders or relying on an automated market maker?

Professor Giberson, What do you make of that? -

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Chris Masse’s first comment to the CFTC on “event markets” (prediction markets)

Chris F. Masse Midas Oracle cfm —– midasoracle —– com chrisfmasse —– gmail —– com July 6th, 2008 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st St. NW Washington D.C. 20581 Attention: Office of the Secretariat- secretary@cftc.gov Reference: Concept … Continue reading

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Robin Hanson’s buddy in the Silicon Valley strikes it rich.

- PowerSet sold to the Evil Empire for $100 million. – UPDATE: Interview. UPDATE: ValleyWag. – Barney Pell, then an “Enterpreneur In Residence” for a VC, co-founded PowerSet and became its first CEO —and then moved on to another position … Continue reading

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Justin Wolfers = Open Researcher

“Open” in the sense described in this document. Consider this: The ungated version of a document is provided. The references are provided in a special file The pieces of evidence are stated in a special file. The raw data are … Continue reading

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Who will write to the CFTC?

CONFIDENTIAL: “The Law Professor”, “The Brain”, and “The Blogger” are among those who will each send a comment to the CFTC in the coming 2 weeks. – UPDATE: This econ guy will write to the CFTC, too. – UPDATE: Indeed, … Continue reading

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Why did prediction markets do well in the pre-polling era, professor Strumpf?

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BEWARE THE BLOGGING ACADEMICS: They are not blogging to inform us —they are blogging to promote themselves.

The New York Times on the brand-new SSRN ranking functionality: Bloggers like Mr. Reynolds [a university professor] tend to do well on the site, since they can promote their work and offer links to their articles. – Social Science Research … Continue reading

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