Tag Archives: predictors

Foxes are better predictors than hedgehogs. OK, BUT WHY…????… — [QUESTION]

Posted on July 17, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Here’s a question to my readers. Do you believe in intuition, and do you think that that’s the reason foxes are (a bit) better at forecasting than hedgehogs?

Posted in Individual Intelligence - Anti Consensus, Precognition, Psychology | Tagged forecast, forecasting, forecasts, foxes, hedgehogs, intuition, Precognition, predicting, prediction, Predictions, predictors | Leave a comment

Predicting the monthly releases of 10 major U.S. economic indicators — [VIDEO]

Posted on April 6, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

By Emile Servan-Schreiber’s Lumenogic.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, Emile Servan-Schreiber, forecasters, forecasts, forecvasting, Lumenogic, MNI Forecast Competition, predicting, Predictions, predictors | Leave a comment

In most cases, the team (including the best predictors) outshines the best predictor working alone.

Posted on June 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I had a question about VentureBeat’s statement, and Leslie Fine has answered it. VentureBeat: As everyone has known since the modern corporation was invented, employees such as executive assistants or production line managers often have better information and more accurate … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Business Administration, Cases, Collective Forecasting, Consulting | Tagged accuracy, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence mechanisms, collective intelligence that predicts, corporate intelligence, CrowdCast, employees, information aggregation, information aggregation mechanisms, inklings, insights, Leslie Fine, organizational intelligence, Predictions, predictors, teams | Leave a comment

VIDEO: Max Keiser’s attempt at predicting the future —subjectively

Posted on June 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Overall, the TV show is based on a good concept (trying to predict future headlines), and I’m sure it will be a success in the end. However, one big mistake Max is doing is to have female journalists. Sorry to … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Prediction Journalism | Tagged jounalism, journalists, Max Keiser, prediction markets, Predictions, predictors, pundits, The Oracle, TV, videos | 1 Comment

Predictify is about building track records of human predictors.

Posted on June 10, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Robert Scoble interviews their CTO. Video – - Predictify is not a prediction exchange. We think prediction markets are superior to polls and surveys, don’t we? With Predictify, the mechanism delivering the collective verdict is simplistic: it’s a poll —with … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged CTO, DSL, Fast Company, Forecasting (Science & Practice), forecasts, Mike Agnich, polls, Predictify, prediction markets, Predictions, predictors, prognostics, reputations, Robert Scoble, surveys, track records, YouTube | Leave a comment