Tag Archives: prediction market startups

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The Death Spiral Of The Prediction Market Startups

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The sad tale of the prediction market startups

They all crashed down. For the simple reason that their mentors (James Surowiecki, Robin Hanson and Justin Wolfers) had the wrong hypothesis. It turned out that prediction markets are not useful in business administration. Period. End of chapter. Move on.

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A stealth prediction market company seeks a CTO.

A stealth prediction market company seeks a CTO. This C-level team member will have considerable freedom to develop an already successful product. You will be compensated via a mix of cash and equity. While we have not revealed the product … Continue reading

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How come prediction exchanges are ranking so low for American Idol?

Midas Oracle has received many visitors from Google this week, thanks to the great work of Ryan from HubDub. I tried to understand why. Turn out when you type “american idol prediction market” (you can add the “s” at the … Continue reading

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How the prediction market companies should weather the upcoming economic crisis

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