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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: polling
Pollster John Zogby attacks statistician Nate Silver. — “You take other people’s polls, compare records for predictions, add in some purely arbitrary (and not transparent) weights, then make your own projections and rankings.”
John Zogby to Nate Silver: Don’t Create Standards You Will Find Hard to Maintain Yourself. Be Honest. Understand That There’s Much More to Being a Good Pollster. Appreciate Innovation. Do Some Polling. Nate Silver responds. UPDATE: Prof Andrew Gelman’s take.
Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice)
Tagged forecasters, forecasting, John Zogby, Nate Silver, polling, pollsters, statistics
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CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts
The fine people at CrowdCast (Mat Fogarty and Leslie Fine) are finally out today with their brand-new, no-trading, collective forecasting mechanism. The purpose is to aggregate information across one organization so as to generate the most objective business forecasts. The … Continue reading
Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs, Software
Tagged Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence mechanisms, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, employee intelligence, enterprise intelligence, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, forecasting, information aggregation, information aggregation mechanisms, internal prediction markets, Leslie Fine, market designs, Market Scoring Rules, Mechanism Designs, MSR, polling, prediction markets, private prediction markets, trading, Xpree
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Why CrowdCast ditched Robin Hanson’s MSR as the engine of its IAM software
- Leslie Fine of CrowdCast: Chris, As Emile points out, in 2003 I started experimenting with (and empirically validating) alternatives to the traditional stock-market metaphor that will be more viable in corporate settings. We found the level of confusion and … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs
Tagged Betting, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence mechanisms, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, enterprise prediction markets, information aggregation, internal prediction markets, Leslie Fine, market designs, Market Scoring Rules, Mechanism Designs, MSR, polling, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, trading, Xpree
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Predictify’s 2008 US electoral map
Predictify’s 2008 US electoral map. $100,000 are at stake.