Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Philadelphia

Michael Nutter wins Philadelphia mayoral primary.

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 19, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Iowa Electronic Markets data. Very difficult to grasp —InTrade-TradeSports and BetFair are more usable. This IEM monopoly is a scandal.
WikiNews: Michael Nutter wins Philadelphia mayoral primary.

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged

The 2007 Philadelphia Democratic Mayoral Primary Markets at Iowa Electronic Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 10, 2007 — Leave a Comment

The 2007 Philadelphia Democratic Mayoral Primary Markets at Iowa Electronic Markets

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged

Americans Need to Embrace Betting Exchanges as the Preferred Way to Bet.

Written by David Stalcup on April 21, 2007 — Leave a Comment

[This two-part article from David Stalcup is cross-posted from MajorWager: Part I + Part II. See disclosure at the bottom of this blog post.]
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Pinnacle Sports introduced the serious and casual American bettor to reduced pricing, and betting has not been the same since. Even the most casual bettor could see the long term advantage of [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Market Trading, Mechanism Designs | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Great City Group Blogs

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 24, 2007 — Leave a Comment

A short note to tip you about a set of great city group blogs I have just found out. (City blog = a blog that focuses on the big and small news about one city.)
Austin – Boston – Chicago – Houston – London – Los Angeles – New York City – Paris – Philadelphia – [...]

Posted in Resources - References | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

Rocky Balboa – Movie

Written by Chris F. Masse on December 16, 2006 — Leave a Comment

HSX:
The sixth installment titled Rocky Balboa finds the former champion living a quiet and lonely life in retirement. Rocky begins a [comeback] in small bouts, but ignites a media storm when he accepts a fight against the Heavyweight Champion.
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If you visit Philly, one day, be sure to visit the Philadelphia Museum of Art, which is [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged , , , ,

Partisan impacts on the economy: Evidence from prediction markets and close elections – by Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz – REDUX

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 4, 2006 — Leave a Comment

The breaking news is that Professor Justin Wolfers (of the Wharton business school in Philadelphia) has responded to my unforeseeable attack and to the subsequent Mike Linksvayer’s comment.
A quick response to Chris:
Let me clarify what I think the key puzzle is: the odds of either Democrats or Republicans are – literally – unchanged since the [...]

Posted in Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , , , , , ,

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