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Tag Archives: Pervez Musharraf

Pervez Musharraf prediction markets –Eric Zitzewitz Edition

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 31, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Eric Zitzewitz’s post, circa November 2007.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , ,

The event futures contract on both Bin Laden and Musharraf at InTrade-TradeSports

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 9, 2007 — Leave a Comment

InTrade-TradeSports:
This contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if BOTH of the following events occur before 11:59:59pm ET on the date specified in the contract:
1. Osama Bin Laden is captured or neutralised
2. President Pervez Musharraf departs as president of Pakistan
The contract will settle (expire) at 0 ($0.00) if BOTH of these events DO NOT occur [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Contract Statements | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , ,

If Musharraf goes, should we celebrate?

Written by Eric Zitzewitz on November 8, 2007 — 1 Comment

Benazir Bhutto made a compelling case in the Sunday New York Times that she would be a better partner for the West than Musharraf. As she noted, $10 billion in U.S. aid since 2001 has not resulted in the elimination of Al Qaeda’s base there. There seems to be substantial reason to believe that Pakistan [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , , , , , ,

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