Tag Archives: Pakistan

The secret link between the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI)

Posted on November 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

CIA @ Wikipedia ISI @ Wikipedia Robert Baer:

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Are you a better predictor than John McCain?

Posted on March 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Via Bo Cowgill of Google, via Foreign Policy, John McCain: – They would do anything to sell politics, these days. – Foreign Policy: It’s a clever marketing ploy by team McCain, but why stop there? Why not have the candidate … Continue reading →

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Pervez Musharraf prediction markets –Eric Zitzewitz Edition

Posted on January 31, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Eric Zitzewitz’s post, circa November 2007.

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The event futures contract on both Bin Laden and Musharraf at InTrade-TradeSports

Posted on November 9, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade-TradeSports: This contract will settle (expire) at 100 ($10.00) if BOTH of the following events occur before 11:59:59pm ET on the date specified in the contract: 1. Osama Bin Laden is captured or neutralised 2. President Pervez Musharraf departs as … Continue reading →

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If Musharraf goes, should we celebrate?

Posted on November 8, 2007 by Eric Zitzewitz

Benazir Bhutto made a compelling case in the Sunday New York Times that she would be a better partner for the West than Musharraf. As she noted, $10 billion in U.S. aid since 2001 has not resulted in the elimination … Continue reading →

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Can InTrade predict the future of foreign governments?

Posted on October 3, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Probably, yes. InTrade is a good information aggregation mechanism, in most cases —there are always exceptions, of course. Here is the list of the “National Leaders” prediction markets at InTrade (under “Current Events”): National Leaders – Robert Mugabe (Zimbabwe) – … Continue reading →

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Plenty of new socially valuable prediction markets at InTrade.

Posted on July 20, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

InTrade seems to take its role as market leader for US political prediction markets very seriously. Since its official splitting with TradeSports, InTrade has opened many interesting prediction markets on legal, political and geo-political issues. — National Leader Departure Markets: … Continue reading →

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BoDog founder Calvin Ayre, fugitive — BUSTED

Posted on April 1, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Betting Market .com’s Niall O’Connor: Bodog founder hunted down in Tora Bora. Only three days after the arrest of Betonsport’s Gary Kaplan [BetOnSports founder Gary Kaplan, fugitive — BUSTED], news is breaking that the Department of Justice have finally got … Continue reading →

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Betting and speculating on cricket increased once this sport was cleaned up.

Posted on March 28, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

The Times: The ICC [International Cricket Council]’s most recent annual report cited a “phenomenal” increase in the level of betting on cricket in both the legal and illegal markets over the previous 12 months. In the legal market this is … Continue reading →

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