Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: oil futures

Do Oil Futures Prices Help Predict Future Oil Prices?

Do Oil Futures Prices Help Predict Future Oil Prices?
Via Mike Linksvayer in a comment…

Max Keiser says on Iranian TV that HubDub’s play-money prediction market on oil price has more predictive power than the oil derivative markets (oil futures markets).

Sounds like a stretch, at first glance, but listen to his argument, first, before you judge it.
Good plug of HubDub inside an economic analysis segment.
Video

Free Speech in Event Market Claims

In addition to a joint comment with a score of signers, I also responded to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts by firing off a solo comment. I there focused soley on question 14, in which the CFTC asked, “Should certain underlying events or [...]

Did Jason Ruspini and friends cash in on huge moves in prices of oil, natural gas, coal and other parts of the energy patch, this semester?

Wall Street Journal $$$:

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