Tag Archives: NFL

How the US government screws the NFL – [VIDEO]

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LiveMocks employs a “wisdom of the crowd” technique to predict the order of the NFL and NBA drafts.

Live Mocks –> http://livemocks.com/ Contact Brian Boyd for more info. http://twitter.com/livemocks http://www.facebook.com/pages/Live-Mocks/282396780436

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The Sport Event Derivative Trading Blog Of The Day

… is the YooNew blog… where Tom Brady is the talk of the week. Best wishes to them.

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The Value of Tom Brady?

New England Patriots’ quarterback Tom Brady suffered a season-ending injury during yesterday’s game with the Kansas City Chiefs. After he left the game and before the extent of the injury was known, the TradeSport’s contract on whether the Pats would … Continue reading

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Fantasy Sport: The only way to crack open the US betting/gambling/gaming market… LEGALLY.

Wikipedia: A fantasy sport (also known as rotisserie, roto, or fairy-tale sport; or owner simulation) is a game where fantasy owners build a team that competes against other fantasy owners based on the statistics generated by individual players or teams … Continue reading

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Has Justin Wolfers responded elsewhere to Rick Borghesi’s argument?

Rick Borghesi, in August 2007: [...] I take the position (PDF) that, while point shaving in amateur sports may be somewhat more common than previously believed, the suspicious statistical trend that he identifies (heavy favorites win yet fail to cover … Continue reading

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Goff comments on Vegas vs. Sports Pundits at The Sports Economist

Brian Goff, writing at the sports economics group blog The Sports Economist, compared last year’s expert predictions of success in the NFL to the rankings implied by contemporaneous Vegas betting. Vegas wins. Goff writes: A couple of observations come to … Continue reading

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Forecasting Tools for Anything

Via economist Greg Mankiw, economist Ian Ayres: Featured In Super Crunchers: Predict Your Child’s Due Date (Ayres) Predict the Value of Bordeaux (Ayres) Predict Justice Kennedy’s Vote (Ayres) Personal/Family: Predict How Long You’ll Live (Northwest Mutual) Predict Your Child’s Due … Continue reading

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Cooperation between BetFair and the British Horseracing Authority: IT IS WORKING.

Via betting market expert Niall O’Connor, The Guardian: Tom and Mark are the betting analysts in the security department at the British Horseracing Authority, and the breadth and power of the information at their disposal is remarkable. The sport in … Continue reading

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The NFL’s Home Underdog Bias: Timing and Weather

I have been studying the underdog (reverse favorite-longshot) bias and find that the timing of the phenomenon is potentially interesting. The two papers that I’ve published on this topic are: The Late Season Bias: Explaining the NFL’s Home Underdog Effect … Continue reading

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