Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Michael Arrington

Would Midas Oracle publish internal documents that were stolen from a prediction market company?

TechCrunch is going to publish some internal documents stolen from Twitter.
In the past, Midas Oracle has published many things that infuriated some prediction market players: Public facts wrapped up in our sarcastic commentaries. And we will do it again, to Russell Andersson’s despair. Would we publish internal documents stolen from a prediction exchange or a [...]

Aren’t you fed up by those obnoxious bloggers (like Chris Masse) who constantly blog about blogging and bloggers?

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If the answer to that question is “no”, then do scan-read that interesting New York Times story about bloggers and blogging.
Yes, that NYT story was written by… a blogger (who usually blogs at ValleyWag) —if you were wondering.
Yes, many blogs are “opinionated” —as you can see in the picture below.

Intense, passionate, consumed with his subject, opinionated, sleep-deprived, forward-thinking, easy to irritate, and apt to air his grudges in public

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The qualification that does not apply to me is in bold:

intense
passionate
consumed with his subject
opinionated
sleep-deprived
forward-thinking
easy to irritate
apt to air his grudges in public

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We’re talking Michael Arrington, of course.
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Why blogs on prediction markets are lively and interesting to read, while conferences on prediction markets are as dull as German sausages and suck like GoldFish.

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Signal Vs. Noise:
Web Conferences: Where’s the outrage?
Over the past 7 years I’ve probably been to almost every major web industry conference at least once. I can’t remember the last time I saw a good honest disagreeable debate on stage. There’s too much “yeah, totally” and “I definitely agree” and “Absolutely” going around.
Panels of friends
Part of [...]

Whose side are you on?

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Michael Arrington refers to this blog post, which I have already linked to.
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I’m rather in the Mike Arrington camp, but I’m not necessarily proud of it. (Ducan Riley would tell me to “get fu****“. )
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I would be interested to have Adam Siegel or David Perry’s opinion on all that. Or Mat Fogarty… Or [...]

Digital Wrist Slapping

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Explainer: Michael Arrington is Ducan Riley’s boss —and Michael Arrington’s post (which prompted the 2 comments you see above) happened to contradict Ducan Riley’s previous take on the issue. (See Robert Scoble’s take, for more info on the general issue, if you need. More by the same Scobble. See also Fred Wilson. And Ducan Riley. [...]

Meet Michael Arrington of TechCrunch.

Lloyd Grove: I ran into Nick Denton [the owner of Gawker Media, parent company of the Silicon Valley blog ValleyWag.com] last night. What do you think of him?
Michael Arrington: I think he’s a total dick.
Lloyd Grove: Would you care to elaborate?
Michael Arrington: I think he’s amoral. I don’t think he has any sense of right [...]

Set up a blog, get yourself a mobile video phone, and, hop, you’re a journalist competing with CNN, CNBC, MSNBC, FBN, and the BBC.

IT blogger Robert Scoble (on the left), holding his Nokia, interviewing Michael Dell at Davos (WEF):

Michael Arrington of TechCrunch took the pic.

Here’s a Davos video taken with a mobile video phone:

Big blogging can be stressful.

Michael Arrington in the New York Times:
I was a corporate lawyer and an entrepreneur, and I know about working all the time. But now, you’re always worried a big story is breaking in your e-mail, and if you wait an hour, you’ll miss it. Every morning when I wake up, the panic hits and I [...]

MOST INFLUENTIAL SILICON VALLEY BLOGGER RIDES THE PREDICTION MARKET HYPE.

Tech Crunch’s Michael Arrington:
[...] The prediction markets, though, are probably the most accurate data when it comes to predicting the actual winner of each primary. Hillary Clinton shows a current 61.3% likelihood of winning, even though she is only polling at 43%. When it comes to predictions, I’ll be watching the people betting real money [...]

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