Tag Archives: Massachusetts

Republican Scott Brown has become the Senator-elect from Massachusetts.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 20, 2010 — Leave a Comment

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Also tagged election, elections, InTrade, Martha Coakley, Nate Silver, Politics, prediction market, prediction markets, Scott Brown, Ted Kennedy, United States Senate, US politics, US Senate

Massachusetts special election: Nate Silver knowns nothing. —REDUX

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 19, 2010 — Leave a Comment

Nate Silver:
There are many assumptions in this model which may not be valid []. Although I believe that these are generally a fairly well-balanced set of assumptions relative to the universe of possible assumptions (i.e. alternate sets of assumptions would tend to cluster around the 25 percent number), it is hard to know for sure.

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics | Also tagged election, elections, Martha Coakley, Nate Silver, Politics, Scott Brown, Ted Kennedy, United States Senate, US politics, US Senate

Massachusetts special election: Nate Silver knowns nothing.

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 18, 2010 — Leave a Comment

6 scenarios
United States Senate special election in Massachusetts, 2010

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics | Also tagged election, elections, Martha Coakley, Nate Silver, Politics, Scott Brown, Ted Kennedy, United States Senate, US politics, US Senate

What will happen with black Harvard Professor Henry Gates and the Police Officer?

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 24, 2009 — Leave a Comment

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What will happen with black Harvard Professor Henry Gates and the Police Officer?

Posted in Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Also tagged African-Americans, Barack Obama, betting markets, blacks, Cambridge, event derivative markets, Harvard professors, Henry Gates, Henry Louis Gates Jr., HubDub, James Crowley, prediction markets, racism, Sergeant James Crowley

The best researchers on prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 4, 2008 — Leave a Comment

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

Posted in People, Resources - References | Also tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling, - Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton, - James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan, - Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski, - Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand, - Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow, - Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce Berg, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage, - Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica, - Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian, - Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode, - Paul Rhode, W. Ross, - Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager

Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 30, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Labs
(with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo)
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Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.)
Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.)
Economic Science Institute – (ESI) – (Chapman University, California, U.S.A.)
HP Labs – (Hewlett-Packard, Palo Alto, California, U.S.A.)
Laboratory for Experimental Economics and [...]

Posted in Economics, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Resources - References | Also tagged California, Cambridge, Center for Prediction Markets, Chapman University, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, Cologne, Economic Science Institute, Economics, event derivative markets, event derivatives, George Mason University, Germany, Google, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, Hewlett-Packard, HP Labs, Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science, Iowa, Knowledge Lab, laboratories, Laboratory for Economics Management and Auctions, Laboratory for Experimental Economics and Political Science, labs, Microsoft, MIT Center, Mountain View, National Chengchi University, Palo Alto, Pasadena, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, Redmont, Research, Taiwan, United States, University of Iowa, University of Virginia, Vecon Lab, Virginia, Washington, Yahoo!, Yahoo! Research Labs

Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 1, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence @ MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S.A. – 2008-05-02
In passing, I say HELLO to our readers from the MIT and the Boston area.
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Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged Boston, Cambridge, Center for Collective Intelligence, Collective Intelligence, MIT, MIT's Center for Collective Intelligence, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, United States

Are U.S. banks capable of stopping transactions tied to event derivative traders made for speculating at InTrade-TradeSports and MatchBook?

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 2, 2008 — 2 Comments

New York Times:

Congress to Take Testimony on Internet Gambling Ban
By Matt Richtel

The Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006 made it illegal for banks and other financial institutions to process online wagers. The goal was to find an indirect way to regulate offshore casinos [... and sportsbooks... and real-money prediction exchanges...], which are outside the [...]

Posted in Regulations | Also tagged author, Barney Frank, Betting, chairman, Congress, Department of the Treasury, Federal Reserve System, Gambling, House Committee on Financial Services, Internet betting and gambling, Internet gambling, Internet gambling ban, Internet Gambling Enforcement Act, law enforcement, Matt Richtel, New York Times, Regulations, United States, Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006

After Justin Wolfers and Bo Cowgill last year, Robin Hanson goes lecturing the MIT.

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 20, 2008 — Leave a Comment

CCI Spring 2008 Seminar Series – Featuring Robin Hanson @ MIT Center for Collective Intelligence, MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA – 2008-05-02
Via George Tziralis of Ask Markets

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged Bo Cowgill, Cambridge, Center for Collective Intelligence, Collective Intelligence, George Tziralis, Justin Wolfers, MIT, MIT CCI, MIT Center, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, United States

Massachusetts governor’s proposal to send the TradeSports-InTrade traders to jail is foolish.

Written by Steve Roman on November 12, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Steve Roman:
Expect to see more of this. State politicians have a big problem: they’ve made lots of promises and are financially unable to keep all of them. For the states, pension and health care promises made during expansionary times are unsustainable if tax revenue does not keep growing.
There is no discussion of shrinking [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Politics, Regulations | Also tagged American Gaming Association, Casinos, governor, Maryland, Ohio, Patrick, Pennsylvania, Politician, Steve Roman, United States

Tag Archives: Massachusetts

Republican Scott Brown has become the Senator-elect from Massachusetts.

Massachusetts special election: Nate Silver knowns nothing. —REDUX

Massachusetts special election: Nate Silver knowns nothing.

What will happen with black Harvard Professor Henry Gates and the Police Officer?

Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence

Are U.S. banks capable of stopping transactions tied to event derivative traders made for speculating at InTrade-TradeSports and MatchBook?

After Justin Wolfers and Bo Cowgill last year, Robin Hanson goes lecturing the MIT.

Massachusetts governor’s proposal to send the TradeSports-InTrade traders to jail is foolish.

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