Tag Archives: Kansas

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 29, 2008 — 2 Comments

Here are short excerpts of the Forrester report on enterprise prediction markets and companies that provide software for enterprise prediction markets.
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The Forrester executive summary:
The “wisdom of crowds” is capturing the attention of corporate strategists across the globe, and, as a result, many are now looking to prediction markets — speculative markets in which traders collectively [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Also tagged A. Huberman, - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, Boston Consulting Group, Calgary, California, Canada, Center for Energy Commerce, CEO, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chris Hibbert, Client Resource Center, Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, David Perry, David Shahar, Director, EDS, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, Exago, Forrester, France, George Mason University, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Services & HP Labs, IBM, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Justin Wolfers, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, KPMG, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Microsoft, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pedro Da Cunha, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, Portugal, prediction market consultants, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott, - Charles Plott, Rawls College of Business, Robin Hanson, Software architect / , Zocalo, project manager, software for prediction markets, Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech University, United States, University of Kansas, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton Business School, Virginia, Virtual Specialist, VP Business development, VP R&D, wisdom of crowds, Yahoo!

The best researchers on prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 4, 2008 — Leave a Comment

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

Posted in People, Resources - References | Also tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling, - Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton, - James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan, - Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski, - Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand, - Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow, - Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce Berg, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage, - Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica, - Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian, - Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode, - Paul Rhode, W. Ross, - Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager

Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Consultants
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Inkling – URL: Inkling Markets – (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.)

Adam Siegel — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Nathan Kontny

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NewsFutures – (Maryland, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.)

Emile Servan-Schreiber — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Maurice Balick

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Xpree – (U.S.A.)

Mat Fogarty — Post Archives at Midas Oracle

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HP Services – HP Labs – (U.S.A.)

Predicting the future –with games — Introductory article
Information Dynamics [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Consulting | Also tagged A. Huberman, - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, American Enterprise Institute, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, BPH Technologies, Calgary, California, Canada, CEO, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chris Hibbert, consultancy firms, consultants, Consulting, consulting firms, corporate prediction markets, D.C., David Perry, David Shahar, Director, Durham, economic tools, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, energy, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, France, George Mason, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Labs, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Jed Christiansen, Justin Wolfers, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, London, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Mikael Edholm, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, North Carolina, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, prediction market consultants, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott, - Charles Plott, Raleigh, Robert Hahn, Robert Wilburn, Robin Hanson, Software architect / , Zocalo, project manager, Tennessee, United Kingdom, United States, Virginia, VP Business development, VP R&D, Washington

Professor Koleman Strumpf explains the prediction markets to the countryland people.

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 22, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Ah, Kansas… Barbecues, pickup trucks, rednecks, country music, and… the local FOX News.
Despite that one blip on the radar [New Hampshire], Strumpf said futures are still the best way to predict the way things will go from here.
Spot the SIDEBAR (which is not located on the sidebar, actually), and click on the little square, just [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Humor, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, FOX News, Humor, Koleman Strumpf, New Hampshire, prediction markets, Professor

Professor Koleman Strumpf tells CNN that a prediction market, by essence, can’t predict an upset.

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 22, 2008 — 3 Comments

CNN:
FOREMAN: I’ve got something I want you to take a look at. Look at this. It could be the price of a stock or a mutual fund. It isn’t. It’s the odds that a particular candidate, the red here is Hillary Clinton, who will become president of the United States. It’s called the predictive market. [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Also tagged accuracy, CNN, crude oil, director of the Sports Book, Dublin, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Forecasting (Science & Practice), FOREMAN, Hillary Clinton, historical prediction markets, InTrade, Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, Ireland, JOHN AVELLO, Johnny Avello, Koleman Strumpf, Las Vegas, Madame Tussaud's Wax Museum, online markets, particular candidate, prediction markets, President, president of the United States, Professor, surprise, the New York Times, United States, University of Kansas, University of Kansas School of Business, upset, USD, Wall Street, Washington, Wisconsin, WYNN, WYNN HOTEL

Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 20, 2008 — 1 Comment

The Journal of Prediction Markets:
The Journal of Prediction Markets
Editor:
Leighton Vaughan Williams
Associate Editors:
John Delaney – CEO InTrade
Bruno Deschamps – University of Bath
Olivier Gergaud – Université de Reims Champagne-Ardennes
Robin Hanson – George Mason University
Charles Noussair – Emory University
Marco Ottaviani – Ex-London Business School
David Paton – Nottingham University Business School
Paul Rhode – University of Arizona
Emile Servan-Schreiber – CEO [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Resources - References | Also tagged academics, Arizona, Bruno Deschamps, Business, Canterbury University, CEO, Charles Noussair, David Paton, Editor, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Emory University, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, George Mason University, Jed Christiansen, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London Business School, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Michael Smith, Niall O'Connor, Nottingham University Business School, Olivier Gergaud, Paul Rhode, Pennsylvania, PMIA, Prediction Market Industry Association, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Stanford Graduate School, The Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Arizona, University of Bath, University of Kansas School of Business, University of Passau , Koleman Strumpf, University of Pennsylvania

If there is one event to attend in 2007, the Koleman Strumpf conference on prediction markets is the one.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 23, 2007 — Leave a Comment

I’ve been thinking a bit about the different upcoming conferences on prediction markets, and it seems to me that the Koleman Strumpf conference stands out of the pack, because of its format. It casts, in a series of 4 successive panels, one company manager against one scholar (called here “discussant”). That is a great idea. [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged California, company manager, Kansas City, New York, New York City, Santa Clara, United States, Yahoo!

Upcoming Events

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 21, 2007 — Leave a Comment

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Consensus Point’s conference on prediction markets – @ New York City, New York, U.S.A. – 2007-09-24
What Have We Learned from Market Design? – @ Yahoo! Research Silicon Valley, Santa Clara, California, U.S.A. – 2007-10-15
Koleman Strumpf’s conference on prediction markets – @ Kansas City, Kansas, U.S.A. – 2007-11-01
Money Tech conference = Technology and Money, Asset Management [...]

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged California, Kansas City, New York, New York City, Santa Clara, United States, Yahoo!

Secrets of an Inkling Top Trader: Spotting Riskless Arbitrage Opportunities

Written by Michael Giberson on May 9, 2007 — 14 Comments

The following is a lightly edited version of an item initially posted on my blog at Knowledge Problem: Secrets of an Inkling Top Trader: Spotting Riskless Arbitrage Opportunities:
As mentioned previously at the Knowledge Problem, Inkling offers a public play-money prediction market. I stumbled across them a year or so ago, and because I’m interested in [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Trading | Also tagged basketball, Champions League, economist, Inkling Top, NCAA, Trader, UCLA, UEFA Champions League, USD

Why is it that Prawf Koleman Strumpf of the University of Kansas is so enamored with Rite-Solutions’ Innovation Engine???

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 5, 2007 — Leave a Comment

… is… The Question Of The Day.
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Koleman Strumpf:
[...] Rite-Solutions [...] runs an innovative ideas market (and I explicitly use this term since it is not a prediction market –they are trying to come up with ideas the firm may want to pursue).

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New York Times – Here’s an Idea: Let Everyone Have Ideas
At Rite-Solutions, the architecture [...]

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Also tagged Christmas, electronic gambling systems, Hasbro, Lavoie, Marino, military applications, MP3, New York Times, pattern-recognition algorithms, President, Rite, Streaming Video, three-dimensional visualization technology, University of Kansas, USD, visualization technology, VuGo, VuGo multimedia system

Tag Archives: Kansas

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets

Professor Koleman Strumpf explains the prediction markets to the countryland people.

Professor Koleman Strumpf tells CNN that a prediction market, by essence, can’t predict an upset.

Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?

If there is one event to attend in 2007, the Koleman Strumpf conference on prediction markets is the one.

Upcoming Events

Secrets of an Inkling Top Trader: Spotting Riskless Arbitrage Opportunities

Why is it that Prawf Koleman Strumpf of the University of Kansas is so enamored with Rite-Solutions’ Innovation Engine???

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