Tag Archives: Joyce Berg

The best researchers on prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 4, 2008 — Leave a Comment

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

Posted in People, Resources - References | Also tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling, - Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton, - James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan, - Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski, - Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand, - Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow, - Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage, - Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica, - Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian, - Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode, - Paul Rhode, W. Ross, - Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager

“What public purpose is served in the oversight of these [event derivative] markets and what differentiates these [event derivative] markets from pure gambling outside the CFTC’s jurisdiction?”

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 1, 2008 — 7 Comments

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My short thoughts on the CFTC announcement:

Nothing new..
No good. Sports prediction markets won’t be allowed by the CFTC (no matter), and, thus, the US-based event derivative exchanges will never be profitable. (Remember that HedgeStreet V1 went into bankruptcy, even though they were well funded.)
Going forward, we are going to see an opposition between people (like [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Also tagged bet markets, betting markets, Caveat Bettor, CFTC, David Pennock, event derivative markets, event derivative trader, event derivatives, event futures markets, Koleman Strumpf, Mark Davies, prediction markets, sports, prediction markets, Steve Levitt, Tom W. Bell

Joyce Berg, director of the Iowa Electronic Markets, talks about how business schools are using the tool for research and teaching.

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 6, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Video
She says prediction markets are “substitute” for polls… or any forecasting tool.

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged director of the Iowa Electronic Markets, IEM, Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets

Iowa Electronic Markets’ Joyce Berg on video

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 25, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Zubin Jelveh

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets, Zubin Jelveh

Cocky Justin Wolfers wants to be invited by the TV networks on Election Day.

Written by Chris F. Masse on September 4, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Resident Publications:
[...] More than 2 million shares have already been traded in presidential primary contracts on Intrade this year. John Delaney, the company’s CEO, is convinced 2008 will be the market’s biggest year yet. “Our ’08 volumes are already approaching the total for ’04 volumes —and we are still 20 months away,” he said earlier [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Politics | Also tagged ABC, CBS, CEO, economics professor, Iowa, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, NBC, Pennsylvania, prediction markets, The University of Iowa, the University of Pennsylvania, United States

Are prediction markets on political elections that important and useful?? I’m afraid they are not.

Written by Chris F. Masse on August 24, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Joyce Berg of the Iowa Electronic Markets:
[...] Campaigns occasionally call to ask if it’s ok if they trade (it is), and “in prior elections we’ve had IP addresses from the White House that have been watching the prices and other what you would think of as government agencies looking at prices. So it seems to [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Also tagged White House

Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) is a bad US monopoly on political event derivatives / prediction markets.

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 24, 2007 — 1 Comment

The mysterious (or so he/she thinks he/she is) Anonymous writes to me:
I have been reading midasoracle for a few weeks now. It is a really useful survey of what is going on in the prediction market world. I think what I like best is the relatively even tone that you have– no one gets a [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged Adobe, America, Bush, cent, Chris Masse, Congress, Deep Throat, Internet gambling, Internet Gambling Prohibition, Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, Jason Ruspini, Joyce E. Berg, Koleman Strumpf, MP3, online betting operation, Paul Rhode, Philadelphia Inquirer, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Russell Andersson, Thomas A. Rietz, United Kingdom, United States, USD, Web-based bookmaker

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Tag Archives: Joyce Berg

“What public purpose is served in the oversight of these [event derivative] markets and what differentiates these [event derivative] markets from pure gambling outside the CFTC’s jurisdiction?”

Joyce Berg, director of the Iowa Electronic Markets, talks about how business schools are using the tool for research and teaching.

Iowa Electronic Markets’ Joyce Berg on video

Cocky Justin Wolfers wants to be invited by the TV networks on Election Day.

Are prediction markets on political elections that important and useful?? I’m afraid they are not.

Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) is a bad US monopoly on political event derivatives / prediction markets.

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