Tag Archives: Journal of Prediction Markets

The Prediction Market Journal is dead.

Or so it seems. It was a third-tier journal, run by a bunch of people who exaggerated the predictive power of the prediction markets —and read by nobody other than those who published in it. It had to die. Midas … Continue reading

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Prediction Markets as a Medical Forecasting Tool: Demand for Hospital Services

Prediction Markets as a Medical Forecasting Tool: Demand for Hospital Services Background This paper presents the outcome of a study conducted at the Royal Devon and Exeter Hospital in which a prediction market was established in order to forecast demand … Continue reading

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NewsFutures’ hyper marketese on their prediction market consultancy and software package for enterprise prediction markets

NewsFutures: Top-10 reasons why NewsFutures is the ideal partner to harness the wisdom of your crowd 1.) Integrated Solutions We offer complete solutions, not just great software. This approach delivers a much higher success rate and enables the client organization … Continue reading

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Insider Trading and Private Prediction Markets

People who run in-house, corporate prediction markets have told me that U.S. laws against illegal insider trading give them nightmares. The problem arises because a private prediction market typically generates material nonpublic information about the corporation that hosts it. If … Continue reading

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FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-HEDGESTREET BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”): – Why is it that HedgeStreet (the U.S.’s first CFTC-regulated real-money prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited? – Could you share with us … Continue reading

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FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-HSX BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”): – Why is it that Hollywood Stock Exchange (the world’s #1 play-money prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited? – Could you share with … Continue reading

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FOUR U.S. SCHOLARS ACCUSED OF ANTI-BETFAIR BIAS

My questions to Yiling Chen, John Ledyard, David Pennock and Eric Zitzewitz (alias “The Quartet”): – Why is it that BetFair (the world’s #1 prediction exchange, a.k.a. betting exchange) is not cited? – Could you share with us evidence that … Continue reading

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