Tag Archives: John Zogby

Pollster John Zogby attacks statistician Nate Silver. — “You take other people’s polls, compare records for predictions, add in some purely arbitrary (and not transparent) weights, then make your own projections and rankings.”

John Zogby to Nate Silver: Don’t Create Standards You Will Find Hard to Maintain Yourself. Be Honest. Understand That There’s Much More to Being a Good Pollster. Appreciate Innovation. Do Some Polling. Nate Silver responds. UPDATE: Prof Andrew Gelman’s take.

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Danger of “self-fulfilling prophecy” in political event markets

People near the eye of the storm in DC have a way of always getting drawn to one side or the other, with very few exceptions. Those biases also creep into the polling business, making the outcomes of American politics … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta) | Tagged , , , , , , | 8 Comments