Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: John Zogby

Danger of “self-fulfilling prophecy” in political event markets

People near the eye of the storm in DC have a way of always getting drawn to one side or the other, with very few exceptions. Those biases also creep into the polling business, making the outcomes of American politics even less predictable than they already are, because the information becomes so suspect. Questions such [...]

Search

Post Categories