Tag Archives: Iran

Arab Revolt Prediction Markets – {Predictions for next Arab country to revolt} – {Which country is the next ‘domino’?} – {What will happen in the Middle East & Northern Africa?} – [PREDICTION MARKET CHARTS]

Posted on February 22, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Predictions for next Arab country to revolt: Libya — Muammar al-Gaddafi – [5 spellings: Gaddafi, Qaddafi, Gadhafi, Khadafy and Khadafi]: Bahrain — Khalifah ibn Sulman al-Khalifah: Yemen — Ali Abdullah Saleh: Iran — Mahmoud Ahmadinejad: Iran — Seyed Ali Hoseyni … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Genesis, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged Ali Abdullah Saleh, Arab countries, Arabs, Bahrain, bets, Betting, betting markets, bettors, event derivative markets, event derivatives, forecasting, forecasts, Gaddafi, Gadhafi, InTrade, Iran, Khadafi, Khadafy, Khalifah ibn Sulman al-Khalifah, Libya, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Muammar al-Gaddafi, Politics, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Qaddafi, Seyed Ali Hoseyni KhÄmeneâ€™i, traders, trading, world politcs, Yemen | Leave a comment

Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week

Posted on June 22, 2009 by Ryan

Hubdubâ€™s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how theyâ€™re likely … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Apple, Barack Obama, Cancer, federer, Harrison Ford, health care, HubDub, indiana jones, Iran, iranian elections, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, nadal, prediction markets, protests, Steve Jobs, universal health care, Wimbledon | Leave a comment

Max Keiser says on Iranian TV that HubDub’s play-money prediction market on oil price has more predictive power than the oil derivative markets (oil futures markets).

Posted on August 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Sounds like a stretch, at first glance, but listen to his argument, first, before you judge it. Good plug of HubDub inside an economic analysis segment. Video

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities, The Global Economy | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, Iran, Max Keiser, oil, oil derivatives, oil futures, Oil price, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets | 1 Comment

I don’t fully agree with Max Keiser’s politics, but I do love his video prediction market journalism. Max, you’re great, here.

Posted on July 19, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

YouTube

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged InTrade, Iran, Max Keiser, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, videos, YouTube | 15 Comments

INTRADE TRADERS, BEWARE. — Primary indicators from Iran might not be reliable: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad doctors pictures using PhotoShop.

Posted on July 10, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- UPDATE:

Posted in Leading & Lagging Indicators, Politics | Tagged Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, missiles | Leave a comment

What I mean by “advanced” and “retarded”

Posted on July 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- An event is “advanced” when it is before the others on the timeline. – An event is “retarded” when it is after the others on the timeline. – - I use the term “advanced, primary indicator” to talk about … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Miscellaneous, Psychology, Science | Tagged advanced, bombing, bombs, Central Intelligence Agency, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, InTrade trader, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, Mossad, Pentagon, physics, prediction markets, retarded, Says Any Attack, strikes, time, U.S. military, United States, USD, war | Leave a comment

Clueless and retarded InTrade traders (“the sheep”) can’t take “no” for an answer. — Short sellers (“the wolves”) will BBQ them.

Posted on July 3, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Still trading at 30% this Thursday morning. – - – US Military Chief Says Any Attack on Iran Would be Destabilizing. – Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged bombing, bombs, chief, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, prediction markets, Says Any Attack, strikes, U.S. military, United States, USD, war | 3 Comments

50%

Posted on July 2, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged bombing, bombs, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Iran, Israel, prediction markets, strikes, war | Leave a comment

We interrupt this bulletin devoted to the upcoming CFTC ruling to inform you that we’re afraid that your “Israel-bombs-Iran-in-2008″ event derivatives are now completely… WORTHLESS —unless you’re a short seller.

Posted on July 2, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Israel has signaled the U.S. and other allies that air operations to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities are not imminent. – - Explainer On Prediction Markets Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of future events by aggregating … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged bombing, bombs, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, meta forecasting tools, prediction markets, strikes, United States, USD, war, WORTHLESS | Leave a comment

One word is missing (“Israel”), and the event derivative market is useless.

Posted on June 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged bombings, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Iran, Islamic Republic of Iran, Israel, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets, United Nations, United States, war | Leave a comment